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The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan

The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan Is Japan’s aging and, more recently, declining population hampering its growth and reflation efforts? Exploiting the demographic and economic variation in the prefectural data between 1990 and 2007, we find that aging of the working age population has had a significant negative impact on the total factor productivity (TFP). Moreover, prefectures that aged at a faster pace experienced lower overall inflation, while prefectures with higher population growth experienced higher inflation. The results give strong support to the notion that demographic headwinds can have a non-trivial impact on the TFP and deflationary pressures. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy World Scientific Publishing Company

The Impact of Demographics on Productivity and Inflation in Japan

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References (13)

Publisher
World Scientific Publishing Company
ISSN
1793-9933
eISSN
1793-9941
DOI
10.1142/S1793993317500089
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Is Japan’s aging and, more recently, declining population hampering its growth and reflation efforts? Exploiting the demographic and economic variation in the prefectural data between 1990 and 2007, we find that aging of the working age population has had a significant negative impact on the total factor productivity (TFP). Moreover, prefectures that aged at a faster pace experienced lower overall inflation, while prefectures with higher population growth experienced higher inflation. The results give strong support to the notion that demographic headwinds can have a non-trivial impact on the TFP and deflationary pressures.

Journal

Journal of International Commerce, Economics and PolicyWorld Scientific Publishing Company

Published: Jun 1, 2017

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