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Tail risk in the fossil fuel industry: an option implied analysis around the unburnable carbon news

Tail risk in the fossil fuel industry: an option implied analysis around the unburnable carbon news This paper studies the option implied tail risk in the oil and gas industry around the unburnable carbon news of April 2009. It was arguably the first science news amplified by the media that stated that the value of the oil and gas industry is stranded. After controlling for the level of proved fossil fuel reserves and the return drop on the event day, I find that large and small companies are perceived as equally exposed to carbon risk. However, the risk persists only in some oil and gas firms. As expected, the level of fossil fuel reserves increases risk. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Accounting & Finance Wiley

Tail risk in the fossil fuel industry: an option implied analysis around the unburnable carbon news

Accounting & Finance , Volume 62 (1) – Mar 1, 2022

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References (34)

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
Accounting and Finance © 2022 AFAANZ
ISSN
0810-5391
eISSN
1467-629X
DOI
10.1111/acfi.12796
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This paper studies the option implied tail risk in the oil and gas industry around the unburnable carbon news of April 2009. It was arguably the first science news amplified by the media that stated that the value of the oil and gas industry is stranded. After controlling for the level of proved fossil fuel reserves and the return drop on the event day, I find that large and small companies are perceived as equally exposed to carbon risk. However, the risk persists only in some oil and gas firms. As expected, the level of fossil fuel reserves increases risk.

Journal

Accounting & FinanceWiley

Published: Mar 1, 2022

Keywords: Stranded assets; Fossil fuel companies; Unburnable carbon news; Tail risk; Derivative contracts

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