Get 20M+ Full-Text Papers For Less Than $1.50/day. Start a 14-Day Trial for You or Your Team.

Learn More →

Is it too late to stabilise the global climate?

Is it too late to stabilise the global climate? Assessment of the feasibility of stabilising the global climate requires consideration of trajectories for emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. This study presents a simple and robust analysis of feasible emissions trajectories. Consideration of feasible trajectories suggests that if the current pace of mitigation efforts is sustained, the likely outcome will be stabilisation at concentrations close to 500 parts per million. Such an outcome will imply a higher than 50 per cent probability of substantial damage from climate change and an enhanced risk of a catastrophic outcome. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Australian Journal of Agricultural Resource Economics Wiley

Is it too late to stabilise the global climate?

Loading next page...
 
/lp/wiley/is-it-too-late-to-stabilise-the-global-climate-xAUV6k80Hp
Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
Copyright © 2013 Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd and Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society Inc.
ISSN
1364-985X
eISSN
1467-8489
DOI
10.1111/j.1467-8489.2012.00617.x
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Assessment of the feasibility of stabilising the global climate requires consideration of trajectories for emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. This study presents a simple and robust analysis of feasible emissions trajectories. Consideration of feasible trajectories suggests that if the current pace of mitigation efforts is sustained, the likely outcome will be stabilisation at concentrations close to 500 parts per million. Such an outcome will imply a higher than 50 per cent probability of substantial damage from climate change and an enhanced risk of a catastrophic outcome.

Journal

The Australian Journal of Agricultural Resource EconomicsWiley

Published: Jan 1, 2013

Keywords: ; ;

References