Get 20M+ Full-Text Papers For Less Than $1.50/day. Start a 14-Day Trial for You or Your Team.

Learn More →

INTELLIGENCE: Not‐So‐Early Warning Systems

INTELLIGENCE: Not‐So‐Early Warning Systems Events demonstrate a general, woeful lack of insight that countries are keen to overcome. Despite the promotion of early warning systems in African Union ( AU ) security plans, neither the Zimbabwean nor the Kenyan election fiascos were adequately prepared for by their neighbours. Analysts have ascribed this in part to the desire of ruling elites to restrict intelligence access, especially by their close neighbours, to their military, and to short circuit the early warning systems that the new security institutions of the region are supposed to develop. In Southern Africa and South African government has struggled to uncover the real balance of forces in the security sector in Zimbabwe or among the factions in the ruling party. In East Africa, Uganda was surprised by the post‐election violence in Kenya, and by the opposition campaigning there that led to a government of national unity. In particular, it was dismayed at the links that its own opposition groups were making with the party of the current Prime Minister Raila Odinga . The benefits of regional unity have vied against the deep distrust that the competing elites in these countries have for each other. In 2003, the Southern African Development http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Africa Research Bulletin: Political, Social and Cultural Series Wiley

INTELLIGENCE: Not‐So‐Early Warning Systems

Download PDF
2 pages

Loading next page...
 
/lp/wiley/intelligence-not-so-early-warning-systems-UFNB9V3Gc9

References (0)

References for this paper are not available at this time. We will be adding them shortly, thank you for your patience.

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
© Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 2008
ISSN
0001-9844
eISSN
1467-825X
DOI
10.1111/j.1467-825X.2008.01765.x
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Events demonstrate a general, woeful lack of insight that countries are keen to overcome. Despite the promotion of early warning systems in African Union ( AU ) security plans, neither the Zimbabwean nor the Kenyan election fiascos were adequately prepared for by their neighbours. Analysts have ascribed this in part to the desire of ruling elites to restrict intelligence access, especially by their close neighbours, to their military, and to short circuit the early warning systems that the new security institutions of the region are supposed to develop. In Southern Africa and South African government has struggled to uncover the real balance of forces in the security sector in Zimbabwe or among the factions in the ruling party. In East Africa, Uganda was surprised by the post‐election violence in Kenya, and by the opposition campaigning there that led to a government of national unity. In particular, it was dismayed at the links that its own opposition groups were making with the party of the current Prime Minister Raila Odinga . The benefits of regional unity have vied against the deep distrust that the competing elites in these countries have for each other. In 2003, the Southern African Development

Journal

Africa Research Bulletin: Political, Social and Cultural Series – Wiley

Published: Jul 1, 2008

There are no references for this article.