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Are group control associated with excess leverage? Empirical evidence

Are group control associated with excess leverage? Empirical evidence CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 2019, VOL. 7, NO. 1, 1–24 https://doi.org/10.1080/21697213.2019.1635322 ARTICLE Are group control associated with excess leverage? Empirical evidence a b,c d Yulan Wang , Xiaochen Dou and Jinglin Li School of Accountancy, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai, China; b c Financial Department, China Investment Corporation, Beijing, China; Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences, Beijing, China; School of Accountancy, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan, China ABSTRACT KEYWORDS Group control; ownership This study investigates the effect of group control on the excess type; excess leverage; leverage of Chinese listed firms during 2003–2016. We find that internal and external the extent and probability of excess leverage in group-affiliated governance firms are significantly higher than stand-alone firms. After consid- ering the firm ownership, we find that the excess leverage is more pronounced among private group-affiliations than the state- owned ones. Moreover, the empirical evidence indicates that bet- ter corporate governance and efficient institutional environment can effectively decrease the degree of excess leverage in group- affiliated firms. This paper provides a new perspective for under- standing the over-leverage problem of Chinese firms and offers practical implications for the implementation of de-leverage policy. 1. Introduction The slowing down and over-capacity of economy have raised the economic and finan- cial risks in China. According to the report of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, the total national leverage of China has reached to 168.48 trillion yuan, and the leverage ratio is about 249%. After considering the structure of debt, the excess leverage problem is more severe in non-financial sector, and the leverage ratio is up to 131%. The high level of debt may increase the cost of debt and even increase the risk of bankruptcy at the micro level. Meanwhile, the high level of debt will reduce the overall social con- sumption capacity and the investment level, thus leading to the slow-down of economy and ultimately triggering financial crisis. Therefore, the Chinese government has put forward the supply-side policy and one of its core contents is requiring the Chinese firms to reduce their debt level. The real meaning of ‘de-leverage’ refers to reducing the existing debt ratio to a reasonable level in order to avoid the occurrence of financial risks (Wang, 2017). So the execution of de-leverage is not applicable for all firms, but only for firms whose leverage are too high. There are many questions to address with regard to excess leverage before the de-leverage mechanism can be effectively implemented. For CONTACT Yulan Wang wangyulansuibe@126.com School of Accountancy, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai, China Paper accepted by Kangtao Ye. © 2019 Accounting Society of China 2 Y. WANG ET AL. example, which firms are over-leveraged? Which factors lead to the excess leverage phenomenon? And how to effectively governance the excess leverage among our Chinese firms? We address the following issues in this research: (1) Whether group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a higher level of excess leverage than independent ones; (2) What’s the difference between private group-affiliations and the state-owned ones in terms of excess leverage? (3) How corporate governance, institutional factors and audit quality affect the excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. Our results show that in China, group-affiliated firms are more likely to have excess leverage than stand-alone counterparts, both in probability and extent. This phenom- enon is more significant among private group-affiliations than the state-owned ones. Furthermore, we find that the increasing of board size and the percentage of indepen- dent boarders can significantly reduce the level of excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. In addition, the development of a sound institutional environment and the improvement of audit quality contributes to the decrease of excess leverage of group- affiliated firms. This study is associated with several strands of the literature. First, we contribute to the excess leverage literature by providing a new perspective for understanding the excess leverage phenomenon in China. We investigate different types of organizational forms of controlling shareholders affect the excess leverage problem of firms. This will help us to better understand the excess leverage issue in China. Second, the results of this study contribute to the business group literature. Prior literature usually uses the level of debt to examine how business group control affects firms’ debt policy, ignoring the debt capacity heterogeneity of different firms. While the excess leverage ratio has considered this heterogeneity, and it is more effective to judge the appropriateness of a firms’ leverage. Finally, our results can offer some practical implications for the implementation of de-leverage policy. As we all know, most Chinese firms’ leverage is too high, which has attracted the attention of the government, and the de-leverage policy has been put forwarded to solve this problem. However, before we implement this policy, we should clear about which types of firms have excess leverage, and the factors that associate with it. The findings of our study can be useful for the government to identify the excess leverage firms and provide some suggestions in relation to developing an effective governance mechanism to reduce the level of excess leverage. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we briefly introduce the background of Chinese business groups and the literature review. In Section 3,we develop our hypotheses. In Section 4, we describe the database and discuss our methodologies. In Section 5, we present the empirical results and the results of robust- ness checks. In Section 6, we show the results of further study. We conclude the paper in Section 7. 2. Literature review 2.1. Formation and function of business groups Since the late 1990s scholars in economics, finance and management have extensively studied business groups. Today in the business world, business groups represent CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 3 a dominant organizational form in developed and developing countries alike, with the GDP contributions of business groups accounting for upwards of 35% of GDP in some countries (Colpan, Hikino, & Lincoln, 2010; Granovetter, 1995). Despite their historical economic dominance in many economies, business groups received virtually no atten- tion until 1970s (Berglöf & Perotti, 1994; Flath, 1992; Gertner, Scharfstein, & Stein, 1994; Weinstein & Yafeh, 1995). Three main theoretical perspectives give different explanations for the formation of business groups. These theories include the expropriation perspective, the rent-seeking perspective and the institutional voids perspective. The expropriation perspective por- trays business groups as organizations created by controlling shareholders to divert or expropriate minority shareholders’ interests. The rent-seeking perspectives postulates that business groups are structures set up to serve as a mechanism through which a handful of owners receive access to scarce resources for private benefits (Khanna & Palepu, 2000). The institutional voids perspective describes the business groups as a social good that compensates for weak external institutions by creating more efficient markets and saving transaction costs. The formation of Chinese business groups originates with China’s market-oriented reform. In the mid-1980s, the Chinese government started to promote business groups because it believed that such groups can absorb new technology, deliver stable financial performance, and achieve international competitiveness (He, Ma, Rui, & Zha, 2013). One of the institutional characteristics of Chinese business groups is that most of these groups are sponsored and controlled by government-related entities and only small numbers of business groups are privately controlled. The state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have multiple and conflicting objectives. On one hand, the SOEs have to maintain and improve the efficiency of capital resources. On the other hand, the SOEs have the responsibility to sustain the level of employment and take on other social responsibil- ities to fulfill their political objectives. These different and multi-dimensional objectives make SOEs difficult to identify their operating loss. Meanwhile, China has maintained a state-dominated financial system in which the government at various levels controls the allocation of financial resources, particularly provided through the banking sector. Government-guided financial resource allocation usually favors SOEs, and this leads to the problem of soft budget constraints. The empirical results of business groups research are mixed. On one hand, some researchers argue that business groups serve as an internal financial market through which capital can be allocated among affiliated firms, which can support those affiliated firms whose performance is not good, avoiding the occurrence of financial distress or bankruptcy. Strachan (1976) suggests that business groups provide insurance for the instability of the outside capital markets. Bena and Ortiz-Molina (2013) find that business groups in the form of pyramids provide a financing advantage in setting up new firms when the pledgeability of cash flows from outside financiers is limited. Khanna and Yafeh (2005) contend that the risk-sharing and co-insurance function of business groups can diversify risks and enhance the production efficiency. On the other hand, some researchers find that business groups also have a dark side. The business group structure can be a value destroyer. For example, through tunneling among group members in a pyramid structure, the controlling shareholder may use high excess leverage as a channel to place more resources at their disposal to facilitate tunneling activities. 4 Y. WANG ET AL. Meanwhile, the principal-principal conflict also encourages the risk-taking behavior of the managers of affiliated firm. So, a consensus has not yet been reached concerning the net advantages resulted from affiliation with a business group. 2.2. Business groups and debt finance Researches about the relation between business groups and debt finance have formed two contradictory opinions. On one hand, some studies argue that business groups allow the formation of internal capital markets that can pool funds from different affiliates and reallocate them to the most profitable uses, and create enough cash flow within the group, reducing the need for external debt finance (Gopalan, Nanda, & Seru, 2007). Hence, the level of debt financing in group-affiliated firms is lower than the independent ones. On the other hand, business groups affiliation can create severe agency problems, and thus destroy firm value. Moreover, debt financing enables con- trolling shareholders to control more economic resources without diluting their control over the corporation, so business groups usually have an incentive to use more debt to expand their control of resources in order to commerce tunneling, resulting in higher leverage. 3. Theoretical analysis and hypothesis development 3.1. Business groups and excess leverage Modigliani and Miller’s(1958) irrelevance proposition concerning capital structure choices and firm value led to a large body of theoretical and empirical studies. Three alternative theories of capital structure emerged, including the trade-off theory, the pecking order theory and agency cost theory. Despite these theories refer to a stand- alone firms, they can also apply to the capital structure of business groups. First, the trade-off theory predicts that a firm’s target leverage is determined by the trade-off between tax shields of debt and the cost of financial distress. Generally, group-affiliated firms have tendency to be more diversified, which can reduce the potential risk of default and increase the group’s debt raising capacity. Meanwhile, group-affiliated firms are likely to cross-subsidize other members and cover debt obligations in the event of a default to protect the group’s reputation. In addition, the costs arisen from information asymmetries at debt renegotiation is smaller for group-affiliated firms. Thus, decreased potential financial distress costs prompt group-affiliated firms to take on more debt. Second, the pecking order theory states that firms choose to finance new investment, firstly by internal retained earnings and then by debt and equity. The target leverage concept does not exist. This theory is based on the assumption that the insiders have more information than the outsiders. As for group-affiliated firms, they have greater access to internal funds and this would reduce their desire to use external debt, and the problem of information asymmetry between group members is less severe than non-group-affiliated firms. Therefore, the information advantage within groups would allow group-affiliated firms to take less debt. Finally, the agency theory proposes that the optimal capital structure is determined by agency costs, which includes both debt and equity issue. Compared with equity, debt enables the controlling shareholder CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 5 to control more resources without diluting their control over the corporation. Thus, the controlling shareholders usually have the incentive to expand their control of resources in order to commence tunneling, and they enjoy all the benefits without bearing the full financial costs. Moreover, the severe agency problem within group-affiliations make it difficult for the outsiders to monitor their transactions. This expects to lead to the excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. Thus, ex ante, it’s unclear whether group-affiliated firms have a higher debt than stand-alone firms. If the pecking order theory holds, we would expect the probability and degree of excess leverage within group-affiliated firms are lower than stand-alone ones. If the trade-off theory and the agency theory hold, the probability and extent of excess leverage of group-affiliated firms expect to be higher than the independent ones. Therefore, we develop the following two competing hypotheses: Hypothesis 1a: Group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a higher level of excess leverage than independent ones. Hypothesis 1b: Group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a lower level of excess leverage than independent ones. 3.2. Business groups, ownership and excess leverage In China, the behavior of debt finance differs greatly between SOEs and private enterprises. SOEs face less financial constraints. As China has maintained a state-dominated financial system in which the government at various levels controls the allocation of financial resources via China’s banking system. The four state-owned commercial banks dominate the banking market, and government-guided financial resource allocation usually favors SOEs that are considered important to the economic development of the country. It is difficult for most private firms to secure financing through the state-controlled financial system, and as a result they suffer from serious financial constraints. In such a context, a business group is likely to serve as an internal capital market to mitigate the financial constraints faced by private firms. Lu, He, and Dou (2015) find that the debt financing advantage brought by business groups is more prominent in non-SOEs. Through establish business groups, private firms can enhance their capability of debt guarantee, and debt financing. However, this may also brings the problem of excess leverage. Li, Chen, and Huang (2007) propose that in order to solve the problem of financing constrains, many private firms in China get together to form business groups to improve their debt financing capability, and this leads to a higher level of excess leverage within private business groups. Overall, the less financial constraints of SOEs may lead to a higher target leverage of SOEs, and the probability of excess leverage may be lower than non-SOEs. The severe problem of financing constraints and the desire for debt financing promote private business groups to issue more debt and finally lead to the excess leverage problem. As a result, we expect to see that business groups play different roles in SOEs and private firms. Thus, we propose the following hypothesis: Hypothesis 2: Private group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a higher level of excess leverage than SOEs. 6 Y. WANG ET AL. 4. Methodology and measurement of variables 4.1. Data collection We collect our data from the China Stock Market and Accounting Research (CSMAR) database. Our sample include 2341 listed non-financial firms for the year 2003 to 2016 and 19,000 firm-year observations for which data are available for all the variables we require for the analysis. We examine financial leverage from the perspective of the form of controlling shareholders. To this end, our sample period began in 2003 when the information of controlling shareholders was issued by the China Securities Regulation Commission (CSRC). Based on the database from the CSRC and CSMAR, we identify a firm’s group-affiliated in each year if its ultimate controlling shareholder entity has more than one firm in that year. We also identify each firm’s group affiliation and the affiliation and disaffiliation years. We exclude: (1) Financial firms (firms with unique accounting standards and capital structure), (2) ‘ST’ firms or negative-equity firms (financial distressed firms), (3) firms that went public during the research date, (4) firms whose leverage ratio exceed one or below zero, and (5) firms whose relevant data are not complete or cannot be acquired. The final sample consists of 19,000 firm-year observations from 2003–2016, and includes all the 12 industries in the Chinese capital market. To mitigate the effect of outliers, all variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels. 4.2. Measuring variables 4.2.1. Excess leverage Following previous studies, we define the excess leverage as the difference between a firm’s actual and predicted book leverage in a given year. To calculate a firm’s predicted leverage, we use predicted values from the same Tobit regression model used in Harford, Klasa, and Walcott (2009). The variables that are used to predict leverage are profitability (ROA), asset tangibility (FATA), firm sizes (SIZE), median industry leverage (IND_LEVB), ownership (SOE), growth opportunities (GROWTH), shareholding percentage of the first largest shareholder (SHRCR1). By estimating separate annual regressions, we are able to exclude expected inflation from the model as this variable is uniform across all firms for any given year. We establish the following equation to calculate the target leverage: LEVB ¼ α þ α SOE 1 þ α ROA þ α IND LEVB þ α GROWTH þ α FATA t 0 1 t 2 t1 3 t1 4 t1 5 t1 (1) þ α SIZE þ α SHRCR1 þ ε 6 t1 7 t1 The dependent variable is the book leverage (LEVB), which is defined as the total debt to total assets. Our selection of independent variables is motivated by Chang, Chen, and Liao (2014), who find that the most reliable factors influencing leverage among Chinese public traded firms are: profitability (ROA), which is computed as total pre-tax profitto total assets; asset tangibility (FATA), which equals total tangible assets to total assets; firm sizes (SIZE) equals to the natural logarithm of total assets; median industry leverage (IND_LEVB) is computed each year for each four digit SIC code; ownership (SOE) is defined by the ultimate controlling shareholder of a firm. The dummy variable equals 1 if CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 7 the controlling shareholder is the central or a local government, or a central or State Asset Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), and 0 if others; growth opportunities (GROWTH) is defined by the percentage change of sales revenue. 4.2.2. Group identification Our sample includes all firms listed on either the Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The information on each firm’s group affiliation is from its financial statements which contain the information about the firm’s ownership structure, ultimate controlling share- holder, and other related firms within the same group. The information covers the period from 2003 to 2016. Based on this database, we identify a firm’s group-affiliation in each year if its ultimate controlling entity has more than one firm in that year. As for the central government-controlled firms, their ultimate controlling shareholder are the Central Asset Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC). However, the SASAC won’t participate in the operation management of these firms. So following the research of Cai and Hu (2016), if the firm’s ultimate controlling shareholder is SASAC, we continue to find the groups that directly controlled by the SASAC, and define the group as the ultimate controlling shareholder. We set the GROUP dummy variable to 1 if the ultimate controlling entity has more than one firm in that year, and 0 otherwise. To investigate the effect of business group affiliation on excess leverage, we use the same approach as those of Lu et al. (2015). They regress excess leverage on group affiliation dummy variable, and other control variables. We adopt the following basic panel specification to examine the group affiliation on the probability and degree of excess leverage: LogitðEXLEV dumÞ¼ γ þ γ GROUP þ γ SIZE þ γ SOE i;t i;t i;t 0 1 2 3 þ γ ROA þ γ GROWTH þ γ FATA i;t i;t i;t 4 5 6 þ γ IND LEVB þ γ SHRCR1 þ γ MB i;t i;t i;t 7 8 9 (2) þ γ NDTS þ γ EXP þ γ ETR þ γ VCFOTA i;t i;t i;t i;t 10 11 12 13 þ γ VEBITTA þ γ MANAHOLD i;t i;t 14 15 þ INDUSTRY þ YEAR þ ε EXLEV ¼ β þ β GROUP þ β SIZE þ β SOE þ β ROA i;t i;t i;t i;t i;t 0 1 2 3 4 þ β GROWTH þ β FATA þ β IND LEVB i;t i;t i;t 5 6 7 þ β SHRCR1 þ β9MB þ B NDTS þ β EXP (3) i;t i;t 10 i;t i;t 8 11 þ β ETR þ β VCFOTA þ β VEBITTA i;t i;t i;t 12 13 14 þ β MANAHOLD þ INDUSTRY þ YEAR þ ε i;t Where i = 1,2 . . ., N refers to the i-th firm in period t = 1,2 . . ., T in our sample. ε refers to errors. Definitions of these variables are provided in Table 1. We use Logit model to estimate Equation (2), and use panel data fixed effects to estimate Equation (3). The dependent variable in Equation (2) is the dummy variable of group affiliation (EXLEV_dum), it equals 1 if the ultimate controlling shareholder is a group, and 0 otherwise. We try to examine the likelihood of excess leverage between group affiliated firms and the independent firms. We use Equation (3) to examine the relation between group affiliation and excess leverage, and the explanatory variable is the degree of 8 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 1. Variable definition. Variables Definition LEV Year-end total debt/year-end total assets EXLEV The degree of excess leverage: it equals to the actual leverage for each firm minus the target leverage in a specific year EXLEV_dum Excess leverage dummy variable: it equals 1 if the actual leverage exceeds the target leverage, and 0 otherwise GROUP A dummy variable that equals 1 if the firm is a group affiliated, and 0 if the firm is an independent firm SIZE The natural logarithm to total assets at the beginning of year t SOE Equals 1 if the firm is a state-owned enterprise, and 0 otherwise ROA Net income for year t/total assets at the beginning of year t GROWTH Percentage change of sales revenue FATA Total fixed assets to total assets IND_LEVB Industry median leverage SHRCR1 Percentage of shares held by the largest shareholder MB Market value/replacement value NDTS Non-debt tax shield, it equals to the interest expense to total assets EXP Overhead expenses to total assets ETR Effective tax rate ratio, equals to the total tax paid to total assets VCFOTA Standard deviation of cash flow VEBITTA Standard deviation of cash flow EBIT MANAHOLD Ratio of shares held by top management LAWSCORE Regional marketization index BIG4 Equals 1 if the firm is audited by the BIG4 and 0 otherwise BOARSIZE Equals to the total number of directors DIR Equals to the number of independent directors/total number of directors excess leverage (EXLEV), which is a continuous variable. We also include the following control variables: MB refers to the market value/replacement value; NDTS is the non- debt tax shield, which equals to the interest expense to total assets; EXP refers to the overhead expense, which is calculated by the overhead expenses to total assets; ETR refers to the effective tax rate, which equals to the total tax paid to total assets; VCFOTA refers to the cash flow volatility, and VEBITTA refers to the volatility of EBIT; MANAHOLD refers to the shares held by top managers to total shares outstanding. 4.3. Descriptive statistics Table 2 reports the descriptive statistics for the variables used in our regression models. The average leverage ratio of Chinese listed firms is 46.2%, which seems not too high. From the perspective of excess leverage, we can find that the mean and median excess leverage ratios are respectively −0.1% and 0.5%, which indicates that in this sample the mean and median difference between the actual leverage and optimal leverage is −0.1% and 0.5% respectively. In addition, we find that the max and min value of excess leverage is −52.4% and 59.8%. It indicates that the debt level exhibits a great difference within different firms, and the key to solve the over-leverage problem of Chinese firms is to find the over-leveraged firms and encourage their de-leverage behavior. The mean value of Group is 58.5%, indicating that the number of group-affiliated firms is higher than independent firms. The results are the same as previous studies about Chinese business groups(Ji & Liu, 2014; Pan & Yu, 2010). The mean size of Chinese listed firms is 21.83. The average of profitability is 3.9%. The mean value of industry median leverage is 45.7%. The average ETR is only 17.9% in our sample, which is much lower than the typical number in other economies, implying that Chinese listed companies bear CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 9 Table 2. Summary statistics for Chinese listed firms. Variables Obs. Mean Median Std. Dev Min Max LEV 19000 0.462 0.468 0.207 0.05 0.999 EXLEV 19000 −0.001 0.005 0.171 −0.524 0.598 GROUP 19000 0.585 1.000 0.493 0.000 1.000 SIZE 19000 21.83 21.70 1.192 15.980 25.520 SOE 19000 0.531 1.000 0.499 0.000 1.000 ROA 19000 0.039 0.036 0.060 −0.192 0.224 GROWTH 19000 0.210 0.105 0.446 −0.425 3.089 FATA 19000 0.250 0.217 0.177 0.002 0.748 IND_LEVB 19000 0.457 0.423 0.100 0.205 0.708 SHRCR1 19000 0.364 0.343 0.153 0.089 0.750 MB 19000 0.965 0.676 0.895 0.084 6.516 NDTS 19000 0.022 0.019 0.016 0.000 0.074 EXP 19000 0.048 0.042 0.030 0.004 0.170 ETR 19000 0.179 0.165 0.175 −0.508 0.824 VCFOTA 19000 0.049 0.037 0.044 0.002 0.254 VEBITTA 19000 0.029 0.016 0.036 0.001 0.232 MANAHOLD 19000 0.061 0.000 0.142 0.000 0.657 a slightly-low real income tax burden. The ratio of shares held by the largest shareholder (Blockshares) has a mean value of 36.4%, suggesting that the ownership structure of Chinese listed companies is highly concentrated. The average ratio of shares held by top management is only 6.1%; the low management holding implies relatively high agency costs. In our sample, approximately 53.1% of listed firms are state-owned, which indi- cates that the SOEs take up more than a half of the firms in the sample. Overall, most descriptive statistics are consistent with those described by Lu et al. (2015), who studies the type firm ownership on excess leverage. 4.4. Correlation matrix Table 3 reports the correlation matrix between our main variables. The correlation coefficient between EXLEV and GROUP is 0.142, which is positive and statistically significant, indicating that group affiliations may be the main factor that leads to the excess leverage of Chinese listed firms. Both size and SOEs are positively and signifi- cantly correlated with EXLEV, indicating that the level of leverage of SOEs is higher than non-SOEs; this result is close to the findings of numerous previous studies. ROA, NDTS, EXP and MANAHOLD exhibit negative and significant correlations with EXLEV, indicating that management share-holding can effectively reduce the agency costs and lead to the decrease of excess leverage. These findings are generally consistent with the results of previous studies. 5. Empirical analysis and discussion of results 5.1. Univariate analysis Table 4 reports univariate analyses for group affiliation firms and independent firms, respectively. Group affiliations have significantly higher leverage and excess leverage than independent firms. In addition, following previous studies (Antoniou, Guney, & Paudyal, 2008; Booth, Aivazian, Demirgüc-Kunt, & Maksimovic, 2001;Rajan &Zingales, 10 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 3. Correlation matrix. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) (15) (16) (1) EXLEV 1 (2) GROUP 0.142*** 1 (3) SIZE 0.168*** 0.238*** 1 (4) SOE 0.137*** 0.458*** 0.254*** 1 (5) ROA −0.284*** −0.049*** 0.085*** −0.087*** 1 (6) GROWTH 0.087*** −0.050*** 0.145*** −0.091*** 0.183*** 1 (7) FATA 0.018** 0.157*** 0.043*** 0.227*** −0.120*** −0.147*** 1 (8) IND_LEVB 0.217*** 0.153*** 0.139*** 0.223*** −0.067*** −0.026*** −0.045*** 1 (9) SHRCR1 0.017** 0.258*** 0.240*** 0.243*** 0.132*** 0.044*** 0.085*** 0.084*** 1 (10) MB 0.408*** 0.216*** 0.498*** 0.277*** −0.239*** −0.028*** 0.140*** 0.325*** 0.126*** 1 (11) NDTS −0.036*** 0.180*** 0.011 0.197*** −0.115*** −0.185*** 0.788*** −0.112*** 0.102*** 0.058*** 1 (12) EXP −0.093*** −0.074*** −0.340*** −0.058*** 0.003 −0.135*** −0.014** −0.273*** −0.104*** −0.289*** 0.122*** 1 (13) ETR 0.048*** 0.059*** 0.086*** 0.069*** 0.145*** 0.022*** −0.023*** 0.150*** 0.035*** 0.112*** −0.039*** −0.096*** 1 (14) VCFOTA 0.155*** −0.024*** −0.124*** −0.044*** −0.028*** 0.064*** −0.178*** 0.140*** 0.020*** −0.012* −0.126*** −0.049*** 0.043*** 1 (15) VEBITTA 0.051*** −0.033*** −0.213*** −0.043*** −0.229*** 0.022*** 0.048*** −0.019*** −0.071*** −0.113*** 0.108*** 0.159*** −0.145*** 0.256*** 1 (16) MANAHOLD −0.230*** −0.444*** −0.185*** −0.441*** 0.111*** 0.068*** −0.170*** −0.284*** −0.100*** −0.215*** −0.160*** 0.077*** −0.072*** −0.052*** −0.045*** 1 CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 11 Table 4. Univariate test of independent firms and group affiliated firms. Non-Group affiliations Group affiliations Difference Tests Mean Median Mean Median T value Z value LEV 0.400 0.400 0.500 0.510 −0.100*** −33.284*** EXLEV −0.030 −0.030 0.020 0.030 −0.050*** −19.675*** EXLEV2 −0.030 −0.040 0.040 0.050 −0.080*** −27.760*** EXLEV3 −0.030 −0.030 0.040 0.040 −0.070*** −25.327*** 1995), we also use a firm’s leverage minus the optimal leverage measured by the industrial mean and median book leverage level of all Chinese listed firms, to measure the firm’s excess leverage. We then create two new variables for our analysis, i.e., the excess leverage measured by industrial mean leverage (EXLEV2) and the excess leverage measured by the industrial median leverage (EXLEV3). Applying these two proxies of excess leverage (i.e., EXLEV2 and EXLEV3), we have the same results that the level of excess leverage is significantly higher than independent firms, which is consistent with our prediction. Overall, our univariate analysis as reported in Table 4 are consistent with our hypothesis H1b that group affiliations are more likely to have excess leverage than independent firms. 5.2. Multivariate analysis To test the relationship between group controlling and excess leverage, we run Logit regression of the excess leverage dummy variable on our group controlled variable and a vector of control variables that are typically used in the excess leverage literature. Results presented in Table 5 are consistent with our prediction. Column (1) of Table 5 shows that the coefficient on Group is positive and statistically significant at the 5% level, indicating that firms that are group controlled are more likely to have excess leverage than independent firms. Column (2) of Table 5 that repeats the same regression but have controlled the problem of heteroscedasticity reveals the results are unchanged. In addition, we also examine the relationship between the degree of excess leverage and group control. We run the OLS regression of the level of excess leverage on the GROUP Control Variable. Column (3) of Table 5 shows that the coefficient on GROUP is more economically and statistically significant than column (1), which is significant at the 5% level as the former is significant at the 1% level. Column (4) replicates column (3) but has controlled the heteroscedasticity problem, however, results are not altered by this addition. These results specify that compared with independent firms, group- affiliations are more likely to have excess leverage and the degree of excess leverage is much higher. Despite many studies have acknowledged the over-leverage problem of Chinese firms, prior researches have rarely reported which firms exhibit excess leverage. Thus, an investigation of this issue is important to implement the de-leverage policy that has put forward by the Chinese government. Overall, the results in Table 5 suggest that group control has a positive effect on excess leverage both in the likelihood and extend. Our results are consistent with those of He et al. (2013), who reveals that the internal capital markets in Chinese groups are not effective and the Chinese group affiliations rely heavily on loans from banks, resulting in the high level of leverage within the Chinese group affiliations. 12 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 5. Multivariate analysis of group control and excess leverage. (1) (2) (3) (4) Logit Cluster OLS Cluster EXLEV_dum EXLEV_dum EXLEV EXLEV GROUP 0.083** 0.088** 0.013*** 0.013** (2.10) (2.00) (4.97) (2.20) SIZE 0.498*** 0.507*** 0.003*** 0.003 (20.64) (21.07) (2.82) (1.38) SOE −0.144*** −0.130*** −0.009*** −0.009 (−3.36) (−3.02) (−3.48) (−1.49) ROA −10.631*** −11.030*** −0.631*** −0.631*** (−27.94) (−28.79) (−31.35) (−17.66) GROWTH 0.339*** 0.345*** 0.053*** 0.053*** (7.99) (8.10) (19.71) (13.97) FATA 1.453*** 1.482*** 0.059*** 0.059*** (7.95) (8.11) (5.78) (2.73) IND_LEVB −3.911*** −6.405*** 0.099*** 0.099*** (−7.66) (−12.40) (8.04) (3.67) SHRCR1 −0.316** −0.266** −0.022*** −0.022 (−2.50) (−2.11) (−2.83) (−1.33) MB 1.685*** 1.605*** 0.061*** 0.061*** (31.82) (31.35) (39.57) (22.71) NDTS −14.800*** −14.123*** −1.106*** −1.106*** (−7.52) (−7.18) (−9.44) (−4.47) EXP 5.451*** 5.633*** 0.457*** 0.457*** (8.02) (8.27) (11.36) (5.31) ETR 0.276** 0.317*** 0.022*** 0.022** (2.56) (2.94) (3.50) (2.28) VCFOTA 5.806*** 5.378*** 0.524*** 0.524*** (13.26) (12.30) (19.75) (11.47) VEBITTA 0.579 0.789 0.013 0.013 (1.06) (1.43) (0.40) (0.22) MANAHOLD −2.095*** −2.048*** −0.170*** −0.170*** (−13.18) (−13.13) (−16.88) (−9.29) CONSTANT −10.426*** −9.545*** −0.194*** −0.194*** (−18.84) (−17.33) (−7.28) (−3.43) YEAR YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES Observations 19000 19000 19000 19000 Adjusted R 0.273 0.272 Pseudo R 0.271 0.267 Our results are consistent with the Trade-off theory and the Agency Cost theory, which predict a higher leverage level of group affiliations than independent firms. However, this finding is inconsistent with the Pecking order theory predictions that group affiliations are less likely to have excess leverage because of its efficient internal capital market. This is consistent with the opinion of Admati, Demarzo, Hellwig, and Pfleiderer (2018), who finds that shareholders pervasively resist leverage reductions no matter how much such reduction may enhance firm value. Shareholders would instead choose to increase leverage even if the new debt is junior and would reduce firm value. He calls this phenomenon the ‘leverage ratchet effect’. From this point of view, firms with excess leverage are more likely to increase their debt level, which will increase the financial risks and even lead to the bankruptcy of the firm. So, it becomes important and necessary to oversee the problem of excess leverage within Chinese groups. In addition, considering different financing environments faced by SOEs and non- state enterprises, we further investigate the effect of state-ownership on the relation CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 13 between group affiliations and excess leverage. We look at all group-affiliated firms and then separate them into state-owned and private ones. Results are presented in Table 6. The coefficient of SOE is −0.171, which is negative and statistically significant at 1% level, as shown in column 1 of Table 6. The results suggest that the state-owned group- affiliates are less likely to have excess leverage than private ones. To control for the heteroskedasticity in the data, robust standard errors are used (White, 1980). Firm- clustered standard errors are also employed to account for time-series dependence (Petersen, 2009). The coefficients of SOEs are still negative and statistically significant, which suggests that our results are robust. In order to further investigate the extent of excess leverage, we use the continuous variable of excess leverage as the explanatory variable. Column 3 shows that the extent of excess leverage within state-owned group- affiliates is much lower than the private ones, and the coefficient of SOE is −0.015, which is negative and statistically significant at 1% level. The results are consistent with those of Lu et al. (2015), who find that the equity financing advantage of SOEs reduced their need for debt financing. As China maintained a state-dominated financial system in Table 6. Business groups, ownership type and excess leverage. (1) GROUP = 1 (2) GROUP = 1 (3) GROUP = 1 (4) GROUP = 1 Logit Cluster OLS Cluster EXLEV_dum EXLEV_dum EXLEV EXLEV SOE −0.171*** −0.140** −0.015*** −0.017** (−3.12) (−2.54) (−4.61) (−2.10) SIZE 0.425*** 0.415*** 0.000 0.003 (13.89) (13.64) (0.10) (0.77) ROA −10.622*** −10.869*** −0.686*** −0.688*** (−21.16) (−21.55) (−26.47) (−15.27) GROWTH 0.393*** 0.442*** 0.058*** 0.052*** (6.36) (7.06) (16.20) (10.91) FATA 1.623*** 1.705*** 0.061*** 0.094*** (6.94) (7.29) (4.88) (3.13) IND_LEVB −5.782*** −8.185*** 0.073*** −0.022 (−8.64) (−12.13) (4.64) (−0.44) SHRCR1 −0.314* −0.277* −0.041*** −0.033 (−1.91) (−1.68) (−4.32) (−1.61) MB 1.669*** 1.591*** 0.058*** 0.060*** (25.83) (25.58) (32.23) (16.26) NDTS −17.337*** −16.746*** −1.275*** −1.535*** (−7.24) (−6.98) (−9.21) (−4.89) EXP 4.158*** 3.898*** 0.477*** 0.399*** (4.54) (4.24) (9.06) (3.42) ETR 0.396*** 0.395*** 0.021*** 0.023* (2.82) (2.81) (2.71) (1.95) VCFOTA 5.829*** 5.387*** 0.545*** 0.514*** (9.77) (9.08) (15.80) (8.52) VEBITTA 1.063 1.267* 0.006 0.013 (1.42) (1.69) (0.13) (0.16) MANAHOLD −3.238*** −3.562*** −0.298*** −0.264*** (−4.69) (−5.17) (−6.57) (−3.10) CONSTANT −8.021*** −6.825*** −0.079** −0.126 (−11.33) (−9.70) (−2.39) (−1.41) YEAR YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES Observations 9447 9447 9447 9447 Adjusted R 0.258 0.285 Pseudo R 0.269 0.268 14 Y. WANG ET AL. which the government at various levels controls the allocation of financial resources in both banking sector and securities market. Government-guided financial resource allo- cation usually favors a few large-scale SOEs that are important to the economic devel- opment of the country and the specific region. SOEs may also face the problem of soft budget constraints. However, it is rather difficult for most non-state owned enterprises to secure financing through the government-controlled financial system. Consequently, private firms suffer from serious financial repression. In such a context, a business group is likely to serve as an internal capital market to mitigate the financial constraints faced by private firms. Nonetheless, some studies have found that the internal capital market of Chinese groups is inefficient (Ji & Liu, 2014; Shao & Liu, 2008). Many groups finance themselves through tunneling among group members in a pyramid structure. Large and influential firms may be propped up at the expense of other ‘weak’ members in the group; this also leads to the excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. 5.3. Robustness tests 5.3.1. Endogeneity and sample-selection issues The OLS regressions, as noted in prior studies are prone to have selection bias and a potential endogenous problem, as the group-affiliation sample may be selected based on some unobservable factors and these factors could influence the variation in excess leverage across firms. This potential may create a bias in the estimation of the coefficients of group dummy. We use the Heckman (1979) two-stage method to take into account self-selection bias. In the firststage,weestimateaprobit modelofgroup affiliation(dummy) on a set of variables that tend to influence a firm’sgroup affiliation choice. Then we include the Lambda (inverse Mills’ ratio) based on the probit estimate in the previous regression specification to control for potential self-selection bias. We use the following variables as control variables in the above regressions: corporate size, growth and earnings performance(ROA). To capture the potential determination of group affiliation choice, we also include cash and cash equivalent, sales revenue as control variables. The results of the first-stageestimationare shownincolumn1in Table 7. Then based on the estimation with the use of above control variables, we get Lambda(inverse Mills’ ratio). We include the Lambda in the regression, this does not weaken our previous results, as shown in column 2, although the coefficient of Lambda is significantly negative, which partially reflects the effect of group affiliation choice on excess leverage. 5.3.2. Alternative excess leverage measures The literature provides alternative ways to measure excess leverage, which include a firm’s leverage minus the optimal leverage to be measured by the industrial median and mean book leverage level of all Chinese listed firms. We then create two new variables for our regressions: the excess industrial median based leverage (EXLEV2) and industrial mean based leverage (EXLEV3). The results are shown in Table 8. Column 1 and column 3 in Table 8 show the results that group-affiliations have a much higher excess leverage than stand-alone ones as the coefficients are significantly positive, which is consistent with the result presented previously. This finding provides further evidence that our results are not determined by the measure errors of excess leverage. CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 15 Table 7. Robustness tests for potential self-selection bias. (1) First-stage estimation to (2) Regression controlling forself- getLambda (inverse Mills’ ratio) selection bias (Lambda) GROUP EXLEV GROUP 0.011** (2.41) SOE 1.102*** −0.065*** (46.05) (−4.60) ROA −1.101*** −0.406*** (−5.52) (−12.54) SIZE −0.022 −0.033*** (−1.05) (−10.36) GROWTH −0.043* 0.038*** (−1.78) (13.10) CASHEQ −0.403*** (−4.45) SALES 0.241*** (13.52) FATA −0.007 (−0.34) IND_LEVB −0.138*** (−3.58) SHRCR1 0.016 (1.34) MB 0.027*** (13.82) NDTS −0.822*** (−3.85) EXP −0.128 (−1.60) ETR −0.002 (−0.27) VCFOTA 0.114*** (3.42) VEBITTA 0.204*** (4.27) MANAHOLD −0.074*** (−4.41) IMR (λ) −0.109*** (−4.88) CONSTANT −5.038*** 0.941*** (−8.39) (10.26) YEAR YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES Observations 19000 19000 Pseudo R 0.224 Adjusted R 0.215 To control for the heteroskedasticity in the data, robust standard errors are used. Firm- clustered standard errors are also employed to account for time-series dependence (Petersen, 2009). 5.3.3. Change sample period A characteristic of the Chinese capital market before year 2007 was a split share structure where almost 70 percent of Chinese listed firms’ outstanding shares were non- tradable shares (NTS) mainly held by block holders, including controlling shareholders. The remaining shares were tradable and mainly held by domestic individuals and institutional investors (Firth, Lin, & Zou, 2010; Li, Xin, & Yu, 2011). The Chinese 16 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 8. Robustness tests using an alternative measure. (1) (2) (3) (4) OLS Cluster OLS Cluster EXLEV2 EXLEV2 EXLEV3 EXLEV3 GROUP 0.015*** 0.015** 0.015*** 0.015** (5.78) (2.54) (5.67) (2.49) SIZE 0.044*** 0.044*** 0.045*** 0.045*** (38.40) (18.55) (39.07) (18.81) SOE 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 (0.49) (0.21) (0.23) (0.10) ROA −0.988*** −0.988*** −0.999*** −0.999*** (−49.69) (−27.65) (−50.34) (−28.02) GROWTH 0.027*** 0.027*** 0.026*** 0.026*** (10.75) (7.99) (10.45) (7.80) FATA 0.088*** 0.088*** 0.089*** 0.089*** (8.67) (4.14) (8.83) (4.21) IND_LEVB −0.414*** −0.414*** −0.602*** −0.602*** (−34.08) (−15.57) (−49.71) (−22.58) SHRCR1 −0.049*** −0.049*** −0.050*** −0.050*** (−6.58) (−3.06) (−6.65) (−3.10) MB 0.060*** 0.060*** 0.060*** 0.060*** (39.03) (22.88) (39.17) (22.94) NDTS −0.826*** −0.826*** −0.865*** −0.865*** (−7.12) (−3.40) (−7.46) (−3.56) EXP 0.416*** 0.416*** 0.407*** 0.407*** (10.50) (4.89) (10.31) (4.79) ETR 0.027*** 0.027*** 0.027*** 0.027*** (4.24) (2.76) (4.33) (2.82) VCFOTA 0.528*** 0.528*** 0.519*** 0.519*** (20.30) (11.74) (19.98) (11.55) VEBITTA 0.101*** 0.101* 0.102*** 0.102* (3.06) (1.66) (3.11) (1.69) MANAHOLD −0.195*** −0.195*** −0.191*** −0.191*** (−21.66) (−11.68) (−21.26) (−11.43) CONSTANT −0.826*** −0.826*** −0.752*** −0.752*** (−31.75) (−14.80) (−28.97) (−13.45) YEAR YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES Observations 19000 19000 19000 19000 Adjusted R 0.390 0.390 0.401 0.401 government implemented the NTS reform in 2005 to solve the problems associated with the split share structure. The reform was expanded to include all listed firms in August 2005, and by the end of 2007, the reform represented over 97% of all Chinese A-share listed companies (Li, Xin, & Yu, 2011). The NTS reform expects to affect the debt financing behaviors of companies and influence the relationship between group control and excess leverage. Therefore, we exclude the sample prior to 2008 to avoid the possible effect of such special events. Table 9 shows the results, indicating the coeffi- cients of group dummy are all significantly positive when we exclude the sample before 2008. This finding suggests that our results are not determined by the NTS reform. Group-affiliations show a relatively higher leverage ratio than unaffiliated ones. 5.3.4. Considering the direction of excess leverage In order to reduce the effect of the direction of excess leverage on the relationship between group-control and excess leverage, we split our sample into two sub-samples, including the over-leveraged(whose actual leverage is higher than the optimal leverage) CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 17 Table 9. Robustness tests with changed sample period (2007–2016). (1) (2) (3) EXLEV EXLEV2 EXLEV3 GROUP 0.012*** 0.013*** 0.013*** (4.10) (4.68) (4.69) SIZE 0.012*** 0.050*** 0.049*** (8.05) (34.60) (34.41) SOE −0.007** 0.006** 0.006** (−2.47) (2.03) (2.03) ROA −0.698*** −1.036*** −1.035*** (−31.18) (−46.83) (−46.80) GROWTH 0.045*** 0.019*** 0.019*** (16.37) (7.55) (7.34) FATA 0.074*** 0.104*** 0.104*** (6.01) (8.53) (8.55) IND_LEVB −0.005 −0.408*** −0.675*** (−0.12) (−10.31) (−17.08) SHRCR1 −0.010 −0.033*** −0.033*** (−1.21) (−4.03) (−4.05) MB 0.060*** 0.064*** 0.065*** (31.07) (33.26) (33.71) NDTS −1.194*** −0.905*** −0.916*** (−8.98) (−6.87) (−6.95) EXP 0.456*** 0.449*** 0.448*** (9.73) (9.75) (9.72) ETR 0.020*** 0.027*** 0.026*** (2.98) (3.83) (3.79) VCFOTA 0.524*** 0.542*** 0.541*** (17.91) (18.91) (18.89) VEBITTA −0.019 0.071* 0.074** (−0.51) (1.95) (2.03) MANAHOLD −0.139*** −0.170*** −0.169*** (−13.34) (−18.28) (−18.27) CONSTANT −0.285*** −0.899*** −0.766*** (−7.58) (−24.39) (−20.76) YEAR YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES Observations 16000 16000 16000 Adjusted R 0.299 0.428 0.435 sample and the under-leveraged(whose actual leverage is lower than the optimal leverage) sample to do the regression respectively. Table 10 presents the results of this analysis. The relation between group-control and excess leverage is significantly positive when the firms are over-leveraged, but the coefficients of group dummy are not significant when the firms are under-leveraged. It suggests that the positive relation between group control and excess leverage only exhibits in firms whose actual leverage exceeds the optimal leverage. This finding also verifies our results are not affected by the direction of excess leverage. 5.3.5. Considering the size effect The existing literatures suggest that firm size plays an important role in the determina- tion of a firms’ debt financing. Generally speaking, the size of group-affiliations are much larger than those independent ones. In order to reduce the impact of firm size, outlying size at the top and bottom 25% are excluded from the sample. We repeat the regression using the sample whose size are between the 25% to 75%. The results are shown in 18 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 10. Robustness tests considering the direction of excess leverage. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) EXLEV > 0 EXLEV < 0 EXLEV2 > 0 EXLEV2 < 0 EXLEV3 > 0 EXLEV3 < 0 GROUP 0.013*** 0.003 0.010*** 0.004 0.010*** 0.004 (5.91) (1.33) (4.21) (1.60) (4.29) (0.87) SIZE −0.018*** 0.008*** 0.006*** 0.027*** 0.007*** 0.027*** (−16.65) (6.00) (5.26) (19.34) (5.81) (9.78) SOE −0.004* −0.005* 0.007*** −0.003 0.007*** −0.004 (−1.80) (−1.78) (2.85) (−1.14) (2.81) (−0.77) ROA −0.431*** −0.017 −0.608*** −0.185*** −0.631*** −0.173*** (−22.54) (−0.88) (−29.84) (−9.53) (−30.13) (−5.21) GROWTH 0.033*** 0.023*** 0.014*** 0.009*** 0.013*** 0.009*** (15.53) (8.59) (6.44) (3.63) (5.75) (3.00) FATA −0.012 0.084*** −0.006 0.095*** −0.004 0.097*** (−1.33) (8.15) (−0.60) (8.95) (−0.45) (4.80) IND_LEVB −0.104*** 0.034 −0.429*** −0.197*** −0.563*** −0.304*** (−4.20) (1.11) (−15.91) (−6.82) (−19.88) (−6.65) SHRCR1 0.010 −0.014** −0.006 −0.012* −0.010 −0.013 (1.59) (−1.98) (−0.90) (−1.75) (−1.43) (−0.97) MB 0.026*** 0.060*** 0.035*** 0.076*** 0.035*** 0.077*** (20.92) (19.51) (26.74) (22.40) (26.10) (12.42) NDTS −0.637*** −0.697*** −0.524*** −0.579*** −0.547*** −0.667*** (−6.27) (−6.49) (−5.11) (−5.14) (−5.18) (−3.31) EXP −0.034 0.527*** −0.088** 0.522*** −0.103*** 0.511*** (−0.95) (13.90) (−2.33) (13.80) (−2.67) (6.48) ETR 0.002 0.013* −0.001 0.025*** −0.001 0.024** (0.42) (1.96) (−0.14) (3.61) (−0.17) (2.35) VCFOTA 0.137*** 0.253*** 0.186*** 0.267*** 0.221*** 0.276*** (6.50) (9.42) (8.10) (10.60) (9.26) (6.97) VEBITTA 0.210*** −0.202*** 0.327*** −0.139*** 0.318*** −0.143*** (7.34) (−6.46) (11.10) (−4.44) (10.55) (−2.94) MANAHOLD −0.086*** −0.047*** −0.104*** −0.060*** −0.116*** −0.057*** (−7.54) (−5.79) (−9.52) (−8.21) (−10.66) (−4.71) CONSTANT 0.527*** −0.402*** 0.143*** −0.721*** 0.192*** −0.667*** (19.72) (−12.76) (5.19) (−22.31) (6.70) (−11.28) YEAR YES YES YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES YES YES Observations 9447 9104 9447 9104 9447 9104 Adjusted R 0.202 0.139 0.301 0.214 0.323 0.224 Table 11, indicating our results remain unchanged. The relationship between group- control and excess leverage is still significantly positive. 6. Additional tests In order to find out some effective mechanisms to solve the problem of excess leverage within our business groups, we conduct the following analysis from the perspective of inside and outside governance. 6.1. Business groups, corporate governance and excess leverage Agency theory suggests that debt can act as a self-enforcing mechanism to mitigate the conflicts of interest between managers and shareholders (Grossman & Hart, 1982; Jensen, 1986). Emphasizing the use of debt as an effective way to mitigate agency problem, agency theory also highlights the importance of board monitoring in con- straining managerial behavior (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). In previous empirical studies, CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 19 Table 11. Robustness tests considering the size effect. (1) (2) (3) EXLEV EXLEV2 EXLEV3 GROUP 0.009** 0.009** 0.009** (2.21) (2.31) (2.39) SIZE 0.020*** 0.057*** 0.057*** (3.93) (11.31) (11.31) SOE 0.001 0.013*** 0.014*** (0.18) (3.26) (3.41) ROA −0.547*** −0.892*** −0.890*** (−16.63) (−27.38) (−27.29) GROWTH 0.055*** 0.028*** 0.027*** (12.17) (6.58) (6.43) FATA 0.116*** 0.139*** 0.141*** (6.75) (8.19) (8.30) IND_LEVB 0.015 −0.445*** −0.666*** (0.29) (−9.08) (−13.56) SHRCR1 0.015 −0.009 −0.010 (1.20) (−0.74) (−0.81) MB 0.106*** 0.112*** 0.112*** (25.82) (27.33) (27.31) NDTS −1.459*** −1.174*** 0.112*** (−8.00) (−6.51) (27.31) EXP 0.559*** 0.534*** 0.538*** (8.81) (8.55) (8.59) ETR 0.025** 0.035*** 0.035*** (2.54) (3.56) (3.52) VCFOTA 0.533*** 0.535*** 0.538*** (12.70) (13.04) (13.11) VEBITTA 0.057 0.126** 0.127** (1.07) (2.41) (2.42) MANAHOLD −0.170***(−16.88) −0.134***(−10.11) −0.132***(−10.01) CONSTANT −0.103*** −1.162*** −1.063*** (−7.02) (−10.64) (−9.72) YEAR YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES Observations 7728 7728 7728 Adjusted R 0.306 0.354 0.361 board size and board independence are frequently used as proxies for board monitoring and board effectiveness. Following the literature, we also use these two proxies to examine their effects on group-affiliations’ excess leverage. We believe that the effec- tiveness of the board of directors plays an important role in the governance of excess leverage in business groups. Column 1 of Table 12 reports the results concerning board governance, showing that the excess leverage of group-affiliations decreased signifi- cantly when the firm has an effective board. The result suggests that a better corporate governance mechanism can exert a great help in reducing excess leverage. 6.2. Business groups, institutional environment and excess leverage The study of Faccio, Lang, and Young (2010) shows that leverage enables controlling shareholders to control more resources without diluting their control over the corpora- tion. However, the institutional environment with a better investor protection can prohibit the tunneling behavior of the controlling shareholders through excess leverage. One of the prominent characteristics of the Chinese economy is the very high level of 20 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 12. Business groups, internal and external governance mechanisms and excess leverage. (1) Corporate governance (2) Institutional environment (3) Big 4 auditing variables EXLEV EXLEV EXLEV GDSIZE −0.004** (−2.52) GDIR −0.105* (−1.93) GROULAW −0.001** (−1.97) GROUBIG4 −0.035*** (−2.75) GDRA 0.009 (1.32) GROUP 0.089*** 0.022*** 0.014*** (2.94) (4.68) (5.24) DIR 0.009 (0.23) DSIZE 0.004*** (2.70) DRA −0.002 (−0.55) LAWSCORE −0.001*** (−3.77) BIG4 −0.010 (−0.87) SIZE 0.048*** 0.046*** 0.049*** (31.35) (39.84) (36.01) SOE 0.010*** −0.002 0.000 (3.02) (−0.81) (0.14) ROA −1.059*** −1.001*** −0.997*** (−42.10) (−50.50) (−49.10) GROWTH 0.021*** 0.026*** 0.021*** (7.12) (10.19) (8.54) FATA 0.067*** 0.079*** 0.103*** (5.01) (7.80) (9.61) IND_LEVB −0.640*** −0.600*** −0.644*** (−44.27) (−49.58) (−21.32) SHRCR1 −0.046*** −0.048*** −0.038*** (−5.03) (−6.48) (−5.13) MB 0.064*** 0.059*** 0.067*** (32.52) (38.25) (38.63) NDTS −0.504*** −0.830*** −1.047*** (−3.33) (−7.17) (−8.98) EXP 0.439*** 0.436*** 0.399*** (8.80) (10.99) (9.76) ETR 0.022*** 0.028*** 0.028*** (2.73) (4.49) (4.53) VCFOTA 0.606*** 0.511*** 0.506*** (18.30) (19.68) (19.51) VEBITTA 0.068 0.087*** 0.128*** (1.58) (2.66) (3.94) MANAHOLD −0.155*** −0.188*** −0.182*** (−15.78) (−20.67) (−20.04) CONSTANT −0.851*** −0.770*** −0.827*** (−21.36) (−29.50) (−25.74) YEAR YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES Observations 19000 19000 19000 Adjusted R 0.439 0.403 0.424 uneven distribution of economic resources across the country. We believe the difference in regional market developments has profound effects on the relationship between business groups and excess leverage. To determine whether the effect of business CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 21 groups on excess leverage differs under different market environments, we use an index of market intermediaries and legal environment. The index covers the development score for each province and major municipality (Fan & Wang, 2017). Complied by China’s National Research Institute (NERI), the index covers a number of catalogue including the percentages of lawyers and registered certified public accountants to the total popula- tion, market order, legal enforcement efficiency, intellectual property rights protection, and consumer rights protection. We use the continuous variable Lawscore as the proxy of investor protection to study the governance effect of external institutional environ- ment on the excess leverage phenomenon within group-affiliations. Column 2 of Table 12 shows the results, revealing the coefficient of GROULAW (the interaction of group dummy and Lawscore) is significantly positive. This finding suggests that a better institutional environment can effectively reduce the excess leverage within business groups. The results are consistent with the view of He et al. (2013). 6.3. Business groups, audit quality and excess leverage Financial statements as primary sources of information for capital markets. External audits contribute to the quality of financial reporting by providing an independent assessment of the accuracy and fairness of financial statements representing the results of operation, financial position and cash flow in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles. High auditing quality can reduce the information asymmetry between the shareholders and creditors through providing fairly and timely accounting information. This expects to reduce a company’s excess leverage behavior and a creditor’s willingness to supply more capital. Meanwhile, higher auditing quality can help the shareholders to monitor the risk-taking behaviors of affiliations’ managers more effectively. Teoh and Wong (1993) argue that Big 4 auditors actually provide higher quality service than non-Big 4 auditors and their study finds that the earnings response coefficients (ERCs) of Big 4 auditors’ clients are significantly higher than those of non-Big 4 clients. Becker et al. (1998) document that discretionary accruals of Big 4 auditors are smaller than those of non-Big4 auditors. Similarly, Wu, Yang, and Lu (2015) suggest that investors’ perception of financial reporting quality is higher when a firm’s financial reports are audited by Big 4 auditors. Similar to Teoh and Wong (1993), we define a high-quality audit as an audit that improves the credibility of financial statement information and allows investors to make a better estimate of the firm value. We operationalize audit quality by using auditor size, Big4 and non-Big4 to identify a high- quality service, and further investigate the governance effect of audit quality on the excess leverage of group-affiliations. The empirical results are shown in Column 3 in Table 12, presenting the coefficient of GROUBIG4 is significantly negative, which indi- cates that high audit quality can exert an effective governance effect on group- affiliations’ excess leverage behavior and reduce firm financial risks. 7. Conclusion The issue of de-leverage of the non-financial sector has attracted much attention since the proposal of the supply-size structural reform years ago. Previous empirical studies have proved that the phenomenon of excess leverage is prominent in non- 22 Y. WANG ET AL. financial sector, and reducing the level of debt in non-financial sector is the key to solve the excess leverage problem in China. However, few studies have systematically investigated the effect of group control on the excess leverage policy and examined the role of internal and external governance mechanisms on excess leverage. In this study, we address the issues of ‘which firms have excess leverage’ and ‘how to reduce the excess leverage of these firms’.We find that the likelihood and extent of excess leverage in group-affiliations are much higher than independent ones, which indicates that the business groups’ internal capital market is inefficient. Also, we find that the excess leverage phenomenon is more pronounced in private group- affiliations than the affiliated firms who are state-owned. This is because SOEs in China have advantages in equity and debt financing, while the non-SOEs receive low priority from either the banking sector or equity markets in acquiring external finance for their investment projects. Therefore, if a private firm is group affiliated, it is more likely to show greater marginal effect than a SOE, ceteris paribus. Business groups are likely to serve as capital acquiring channel for group members, mitigating the financial constraints faced by private firms in China through the provision of insurance and cross funding to their members, while it also creates the problem of excess leverage. We also find an effective corporate governance mechanism can reduce the excess leverage within the group-affiliations. In addition, institutional environment with a better investor protection can prohibit the tunneling behavior of controlling shareholders with the use of excess leverage. Finally, we find that employing the Big 4 auditors to audit financial reports of a business group can effectively decrease the level of excess leverage of group-affiliations. This study presents empirical evidence that can be used to shed new light on the theory of business groups’ capital structure, and provides a better understanding of China’s high debt issue. Disclosure statement No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors. References Admati, A.R., Demarzo, P.M., Hellwig, M.F., & Pfleiderer, P. (2018). The leverage ratchet effect. The Journal of Finance, 73(1), 145–198. Antoniou, A., Guney, Y., & Paudyal, K. (2008). The determinants of capital structure: Capital market oriented versus bank oriented institutions. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 43(1), 59–92. Becker, C.L., DeFond, M.L., Jiambalvo, J., & Subramanyam, K.R. (1998). The effect of audit quality on earnings management. Contemporary Accounting Research, 15(1), 1–24. 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Are group control associated with excess leverage? Empirical evidence

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CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 2019, VOL. 7, NO. 1, 1–24 https://doi.org/10.1080/21697213.2019.1635322 ARTICLE Are group control associated with excess leverage? Empirical evidence a b,c d Yulan Wang , Xiaochen Dou and Jinglin Li School of Accountancy, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai, China; b c Financial Department, China Investment Corporation, Beijing, China; Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences, Beijing, China; School of Accountancy, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan, China ABSTRACT KEYWORDS Group control; ownership This study investigates the effect of group control on the excess type; excess leverage; leverage of Chinese listed firms during 2003–2016. We find that internal and external the extent and probability of excess leverage in group-affiliated governance firms are significantly higher than stand-alone firms. After consid- ering the firm ownership, we find that the excess leverage is more pronounced among private group-affiliations than the state- owned ones. Moreover, the empirical evidence indicates that bet- ter corporate governance and efficient institutional environment can effectively decrease the degree of excess leverage in group- affiliated firms. This paper provides a new perspective for under- standing the over-leverage problem of Chinese firms and offers practical implications for the implementation of de-leverage policy. 1. Introduction The slowing down and over-capacity of economy have raised the economic and finan- cial risks in China. According to the report of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, the total national leverage of China has reached to 168.48 trillion yuan, and the leverage ratio is about 249%. After considering the structure of debt, the excess leverage problem is more severe in non-financial sector, and the leverage ratio is up to 131%. The high level of debt may increase the cost of debt and even increase the risk of bankruptcy at the micro level. Meanwhile, the high level of debt will reduce the overall social con- sumption capacity and the investment level, thus leading to the slow-down of economy and ultimately triggering financial crisis. Therefore, the Chinese government has put forward the supply-side policy and one of its core contents is requiring the Chinese firms to reduce their debt level. The real meaning of ‘de-leverage’ refers to reducing the existing debt ratio to a reasonable level in order to avoid the occurrence of financial risks (Wang, 2017). So the execution of de-leverage is not applicable for all firms, but only for firms whose leverage are too high. There are many questions to address with regard to excess leverage before the de-leverage mechanism can be effectively implemented. For CONTACT Yulan Wang wangyulansuibe@126.com School of Accountancy, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai, China Paper accepted by Kangtao Ye. © 2019 Accounting Society of China 2 Y. WANG ET AL. example, which firms are over-leveraged? Which factors lead to the excess leverage phenomenon? And how to effectively governance the excess leverage among our Chinese firms? We address the following issues in this research: (1) Whether group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a higher level of excess leverage than independent ones; (2) What’s the difference between private group-affiliations and the state-owned ones in terms of excess leverage? (3) How corporate governance, institutional factors and audit quality affect the excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. Our results show that in China, group-affiliated firms are more likely to have excess leverage than stand-alone counterparts, both in probability and extent. This phenom- enon is more significant among private group-affiliations than the state-owned ones. Furthermore, we find that the increasing of board size and the percentage of indepen- dent boarders can significantly reduce the level of excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. In addition, the development of a sound institutional environment and the improvement of audit quality contributes to the decrease of excess leverage of group- affiliated firms. This study is associated with several strands of the literature. First, we contribute to the excess leverage literature by providing a new perspective for understanding the excess leverage phenomenon in China. We investigate different types of organizational forms of controlling shareholders affect the excess leverage problem of firms. This will help us to better understand the excess leverage issue in China. Second, the results of this study contribute to the business group literature. Prior literature usually uses the level of debt to examine how business group control affects firms’ debt policy, ignoring the debt capacity heterogeneity of different firms. While the excess leverage ratio has considered this heterogeneity, and it is more effective to judge the appropriateness of a firms’ leverage. Finally, our results can offer some practical implications for the implementation of de-leverage policy. As we all know, most Chinese firms’ leverage is too high, which has attracted the attention of the government, and the de-leverage policy has been put forwarded to solve this problem. However, before we implement this policy, we should clear about which types of firms have excess leverage, and the factors that associate with it. The findings of our study can be useful for the government to identify the excess leverage firms and provide some suggestions in relation to developing an effective governance mechanism to reduce the level of excess leverage. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we briefly introduce the background of Chinese business groups and the literature review. In Section 3,we develop our hypotheses. In Section 4, we describe the database and discuss our methodologies. In Section 5, we present the empirical results and the results of robust- ness checks. In Section 6, we show the results of further study. We conclude the paper in Section 7. 2. Literature review 2.1. Formation and function of business groups Since the late 1990s scholars in economics, finance and management have extensively studied business groups. Today in the business world, business groups represent CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 3 a dominant organizational form in developed and developing countries alike, with the GDP contributions of business groups accounting for upwards of 35% of GDP in some countries (Colpan, Hikino, & Lincoln, 2010; Granovetter, 1995). Despite their historical economic dominance in many economies, business groups received virtually no atten- tion until 1970s (Berglöf & Perotti, 1994; Flath, 1992; Gertner, Scharfstein, & Stein, 1994; Weinstein & Yafeh, 1995). Three main theoretical perspectives give different explanations for the formation of business groups. These theories include the expropriation perspective, the rent-seeking perspective and the institutional voids perspective. The expropriation perspective por- trays business groups as organizations created by controlling shareholders to divert or expropriate minority shareholders’ interests. The rent-seeking perspectives postulates that business groups are structures set up to serve as a mechanism through which a handful of owners receive access to scarce resources for private benefits (Khanna & Palepu, 2000). The institutional voids perspective describes the business groups as a social good that compensates for weak external institutions by creating more efficient markets and saving transaction costs. The formation of Chinese business groups originates with China’s market-oriented reform. In the mid-1980s, the Chinese government started to promote business groups because it believed that such groups can absorb new technology, deliver stable financial performance, and achieve international competitiveness (He, Ma, Rui, & Zha, 2013). One of the institutional characteristics of Chinese business groups is that most of these groups are sponsored and controlled by government-related entities and only small numbers of business groups are privately controlled. The state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have multiple and conflicting objectives. On one hand, the SOEs have to maintain and improve the efficiency of capital resources. On the other hand, the SOEs have the responsibility to sustain the level of employment and take on other social responsibil- ities to fulfill their political objectives. These different and multi-dimensional objectives make SOEs difficult to identify their operating loss. Meanwhile, China has maintained a state-dominated financial system in which the government at various levels controls the allocation of financial resources, particularly provided through the banking sector. Government-guided financial resource allocation usually favors SOEs, and this leads to the problem of soft budget constraints. The empirical results of business groups research are mixed. On one hand, some researchers argue that business groups serve as an internal financial market through which capital can be allocated among affiliated firms, which can support those affiliated firms whose performance is not good, avoiding the occurrence of financial distress or bankruptcy. Strachan (1976) suggests that business groups provide insurance for the instability of the outside capital markets. Bena and Ortiz-Molina (2013) find that business groups in the form of pyramids provide a financing advantage in setting up new firms when the pledgeability of cash flows from outside financiers is limited. Khanna and Yafeh (2005) contend that the risk-sharing and co-insurance function of business groups can diversify risks and enhance the production efficiency. On the other hand, some researchers find that business groups also have a dark side. The business group structure can be a value destroyer. For example, through tunneling among group members in a pyramid structure, the controlling shareholder may use high excess leverage as a channel to place more resources at their disposal to facilitate tunneling activities. 4 Y. WANG ET AL. Meanwhile, the principal-principal conflict also encourages the risk-taking behavior of the managers of affiliated firm. So, a consensus has not yet been reached concerning the net advantages resulted from affiliation with a business group. 2.2. Business groups and debt finance Researches about the relation between business groups and debt finance have formed two contradictory opinions. On one hand, some studies argue that business groups allow the formation of internal capital markets that can pool funds from different affiliates and reallocate them to the most profitable uses, and create enough cash flow within the group, reducing the need for external debt finance (Gopalan, Nanda, & Seru, 2007). Hence, the level of debt financing in group-affiliated firms is lower than the independent ones. On the other hand, business groups affiliation can create severe agency problems, and thus destroy firm value. Moreover, debt financing enables con- trolling shareholders to control more economic resources without diluting their control over the corporation, so business groups usually have an incentive to use more debt to expand their control of resources in order to commerce tunneling, resulting in higher leverage. 3. Theoretical analysis and hypothesis development 3.1. Business groups and excess leverage Modigliani and Miller’s(1958) irrelevance proposition concerning capital structure choices and firm value led to a large body of theoretical and empirical studies. Three alternative theories of capital structure emerged, including the trade-off theory, the pecking order theory and agency cost theory. Despite these theories refer to a stand- alone firms, they can also apply to the capital structure of business groups. First, the trade-off theory predicts that a firm’s target leverage is determined by the trade-off between tax shields of debt and the cost of financial distress. Generally, group-affiliated firms have tendency to be more diversified, which can reduce the potential risk of default and increase the group’s debt raising capacity. Meanwhile, group-affiliated firms are likely to cross-subsidize other members and cover debt obligations in the event of a default to protect the group’s reputation. In addition, the costs arisen from information asymmetries at debt renegotiation is smaller for group-affiliated firms. Thus, decreased potential financial distress costs prompt group-affiliated firms to take on more debt. Second, the pecking order theory states that firms choose to finance new investment, firstly by internal retained earnings and then by debt and equity. The target leverage concept does not exist. This theory is based on the assumption that the insiders have more information than the outsiders. As for group-affiliated firms, they have greater access to internal funds and this would reduce their desire to use external debt, and the problem of information asymmetry between group members is less severe than non-group-affiliated firms. Therefore, the information advantage within groups would allow group-affiliated firms to take less debt. Finally, the agency theory proposes that the optimal capital structure is determined by agency costs, which includes both debt and equity issue. Compared with equity, debt enables the controlling shareholder CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 5 to control more resources without diluting their control over the corporation. Thus, the controlling shareholders usually have the incentive to expand their control of resources in order to commence tunneling, and they enjoy all the benefits without bearing the full financial costs. Moreover, the severe agency problem within group-affiliations make it difficult for the outsiders to monitor their transactions. This expects to lead to the excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. Thus, ex ante, it’s unclear whether group-affiliated firms have a higher debt than stand-alone firms. If the pecking order theory holds, we would expect the probability and degree of excess leverage within group-affiliated firms are lower than stand-alone ones. If the trade-off theory and the agency theory hold, the probability and extent of excess leverage of group-affiliated firms expect to be higher than the independent ones. Therefore, we develop the following two competing hypotheses: Hypothesis 1a: Group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a higher level of excess leverage than independent ones. Hypothesis 1b: Group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a lower level of excess leverage than independent ones. 3.2. Business groups, ownership and excess leverage In China, the behavior of debt finance differs greatly between SOEs and private enterprises. SOEs face less financial constraints. As China has maintained a state-dominated financial system in which the government at various levels controls the allocation of financial resources via China’s banking system. The four state-owned commercial banks dominate the banking market, and government-guided financial resource allocation usually favors SOEs that are considered important to the economic development of the country. It is difficult for most private firms to secure financing through the state-controlled financial system, and as a result they suffer from serious financial constraints. In such a context, a business group is likely to serve as an internal capital market to mitigate the financial constraints faced by private firms. Lu, He, and Dou (2015) find that the debt financing advantage brought by business groups is more prominent in non-SOEs. Through establish business groups, private firms can enhance their capability of debt guarantee, and debt financing. However, this may also brings the problem of excess leverage. Li, Chen, and Huang (2007) propose that in order to solve the problem of financing constrains, many private firms in China get together to form business groups to improve their debt financing capability, and this leads to a higher level of excess leverage within private business groups. Overall, the less financial constraints of SOEs may lead to a higher target leverage of SOEs, and the probability of excess leverage may be lower than non-SOEs. The severe problem of financing constraints and the desire for debt financing promote private business groups to issue more debt and finally lead to the excess leverage problem. As a result, we expect to see that business groups play different roles in SOEs and private firms. Thus, we propose the following hypothesis: Hypothesis 2: Private group-affiliated firms are more likely to have a higher level of excess leverage than SOEs. 6 Y. WANG ET AL. 4. Methodology and measurement of variables 4.1. Data collection We collect our data from the China Stock Market and Accounting Research (CSMAR) database. Our sample include 2341 listed non-financial firms for the year 2003 to 2016 and 19,000 firm-year observations for which data are available for all the variables we require for the analysis. We examine financial leverage from the perspective of the form of controlling shareholders. To this end, our sample period began in 2003 when the information of controlling shareholders was issued by the China Securities Regulation Commission (CSRC). Based on the database from the CSRC and CSMAR, we identify a firm’s group-affiliated in each year if its ultimate controlling shareholder entity has more than one firm in that year. We also identify each firm’s group affiliation and the affiliation and disaffiliation years. We exclude: (1) Financial firms (firms with unique accounting standards and capital structure), (2) ‘ST’ firms or negative-equity firms (financial distressed firms), (3) firms that went public during the research date, (4) firms whose leverage ratio exceed one or below zero, and (5) firms whose relevant data are not complete or cannot be acquired. The final sample consists of 19,000 firm-year observations from 2003–2016, and includes all the 12 industries in the Chinese capital market. To mitigate the effect of outliers, all variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% levels. 4.2. Measuring variables 4.2.1. Excess leverage Following previous studies, we define the excess leverage as the difference between a firm’s actual and predicted book leverage in a given year. To calculate a firm’s predicted leverage, we use predicted values from the same Tobit regression model used in Harford, Klasa, and Walcott (2009). The variables that are used to predict leverage are profitability (ROA), asset tangibility (FATA), firm sizes (SIZE), median industry leverage (IND_LEVB), ownership (SOE), growth opportunities (GROWTH), shareholding percentage of the first largest shareholder (SHRCR1). By estimating separate annual regressions, we are able to exclude expected inflation from the model as this variable is uniform across all firms for any given year. We establish the following equation to calculate the target leverage: LEVB ¼ α þ α SOE 1 þ α ROA þ α IND LEVB þ α GROWTH þ α FATA t 0 1 t 2 t1 3 t1 4 t1 5 t1 (1) þ α SIZE þ α SHRCR1 þ ε 6 t1 7 t1 The dependent variable is the book leverage (LEVB), which is defined as the total debt to total assets. Our selection of independent variables is motivated by Chang, Chen, and Liao (2014), who find that the most reliable factors influencing leverage among Chinese public traded firms are: profitability (ROA), which is computed as total pre-tax profitto total assets; asset tangibility (FATA), which equals total tangible assets to total assets; firm sizes (SIZE) equals to the natural logarithm of total assets; median industry leverage (IND_LEVB) is computed each year for each four digit SIC code; ownership (SOE) is defined by the ultimate controlling shareholder of a firm. The dummy variable equals 1 if CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 7 the controlling shareholder is the central or a local government, or a central or State Asset Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), and 0 if others; growth opportunities (GROWTH) is defined by the percentage change of sales revenue. 4.2.2. Group identification Our sample includes all firms listed on either the Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The information on each firm’s group affiliation is from its financial statements which contain the information about the firm’s ownership structure, ultimate controlling share- holder, and other related firms within the same group. The information covers the period from 2003 to 2016. Based on this database, we identify a firm’s group-affiliation in each year if its ultimate controlling entity has more than one firm in that year. As for the central government-controlled firms, their ultimate controlling shareholder are the Central Asset Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC). However, the SASAC won’t participate in the operation management of these firms. So following the research of Cai and Hu (2016), if the firm’s ultimate controlling shareholder is SASAC, we continue to find the groups that directly controlled by the SASAC, and define the group as the ultimate controlling shareholder. We set the GROUP dummy variable to 1 if the ultimate controlling entity has more than one firm in that year, and 0 otherwise. To investigate the effect of business group affiliation on excess leverage, we use the same approach as those of Lu et al. (2015). They regress excess leverage on group affiliation dummy variable, and other control variables. We adopt the following basic panel specification to examine the group affiliation on the probability and degree of excess leverage: LogitðEXLEV dumÞ¼ γ þ γ GROUP þ γ SIZE þ γ SOE i;t i;t i;t 0 1 2 3 þ γ ROA þ γ GROWTH þ γ FATA i;t i;t i;t 4 5 6 þ γ IND LEVB þ γ SHRCR1 þ γ MB i;t i;t i;t 7 8 9 (2) þ γ NDTS þ γ EXP þ γ ETR þ γ VCFOTA i;t i;t i;t i;t 10 11 12 13 þ γ VEBITTA þ γ MANAHOLD i;t i;t 14 15 þ INDUSTRY þ YEAR þ ε EXLEV ¼ β þ β GROUP þ β SIZE þ β SOE þ β ROA i;t i;t i;t i;t i;t 0 1 2 3 4 þ β GROWTH þ β FATA þ β IND LEVB i;t i;t i;t 5 6 7 þ β SHRCR1 þ β9MB þ B NDTS þ β EXP (3) i;t i;t 10 i;t i;t 8 11 þ β ETR þ β VCFOTA þ β VEBITTA i;t i;t i;t 12 13 14 þ β MANAHOLD þ INDUSTRY þ YEAR þ ε i;t Where i = 1,2 . . ., N refers to the i-th firm in period t = 1,2 . . ., T in our sample. ε refers to errors. Definitions of these variables are provided in Table 1. We use Logit model to estimate Equation (2), and use panel data fixed effects to estimate Equation (3). The dependent variable in Equation (2) is the dummy variable of group affiliation (EXLEV_dum), it equals 1 if the ultimate controlling shareholder is a group, and 0 otherwise. We try to examine the likelihood of excess leverage between group affiliated firms and the independent firms. We use Equation (3) to examine the relation between group affiliation and excess leverage, and the explanatory variable is the degree of 8 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 1. Variable definition. Variables Definition LEV Year-end total debt/year-end total assets EXLEV The degree of excess leverage: it equals to the actual leverage for each firm minus the target leverage in a specific year EXLEV_dum Excess leverage dummy variable: it equals 1 if the actual leverage exceeds the target leverage, and 0 otherwise GROUP A dummy variable that equals 1 if the firm is a group affiliated, and 0 if the firm is an independent firm SIZE The natural logarithm to total assets at the beginning of year t SOE Equals 1 if the firm is a state-owned enterprise, and 0 otherwise ROA Net income for year t/total assets at the beginning of year t GROWTH Percentage change of sales revenue FATA Total fixed assets to total assets IND_LEVB Industry median leverage SHRCR1 Percentage of shares held by the largest shareholder MB Market value/replacement value NDTS Non-debt tax shield, it equals to the interest expense to total assets EXP Overhead expenses to total assets ETR Effective tax rate ratio, equals to the total tax paid to total assets VCFOTA Standard deviation of cash flow VEBITTA Standard deviation of cash flow EBIT MANAHOLD Ratio of shares held by top management LAWSCORE Regional marketization index BIG4 Equals 1 if the firm is audited by the BIG4 and 0 otherwise BOARSIZE Equals to the total number of directors DIR Equals to the number of independent directors/total number of directors excess leverage (EXLEV), which is a continuous variable. We also include the following control variables: MB refers to the market value/replacement value; NDTS is the non- debt tax shield, which equals to the interest expense to total assets; EXP refers to the overhead expense, which is calculated by the overhead expenses to total assets; ETR refers to the effective tax rate, which equals to the total tax paid to total assets; VCFOTA refers to the cash flow volatility, and VEBITTA refers to the volatility of EBIT; MANAHOLD refers to the shares held by top managers to total shares outstanding. 4.3. Descriptive statistics Table 2 reports the descriptive statistics for the variables used in our regression models. The average leverage ratio of Chinese listed firms is 46.2%, which seems not too high. From the perspective of excess leverage, we can find that the mean and median excess leverage ratios are respectively −0.1% and 0.5%, which indicates that in this sample the mean and median difference between the actual leverage and optimal leverage is −0.1% and 0.5% respectively. In addition, we find that the max and min value of excess leverage is −52.4% and 59.8%. It indicates that the debt level exhibits a great difference within different firms, and the key to solve the over-leverage problem of Chinese firms is to find the over-leveraged firms and encourage their de-leverage behavior. The mean value of Group is 58.5%, indicating that the number of group-affiliated firms is higher than independent firms. The results are the same as previous studies about Chinese business groups(Ji & Liu, 2014; Pan & Yu, 2010). The mean size of Chinese listed firms is 21.83. The average of profitability is 3.9%. The mean value of industry median leverage is 45.7%. The average ETR is only 17.9% in our sample, which is much lower than the typical number in other economies, implying that Chinese listed companies bear CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 9 Table 2. Summary statistics for Chinese listed firms. Variables Obs. Mean Median Std. Dev Min Max LEV 19000 0.462 0.468 0.207 0.05 0.999 EXLEV 19000 −0.001 0.005 0.171 −0.524 0.598 GROUP 19000 0.585 1.000 0.493 0.000 1.000 SIZE 19000 21.83 21.70 1.192 15.980 25.520 SOE 19000 0.531 1.000 0.499 0.000 1.000 ROA 19000 0.039 0.036 0.060 −0.192 0.224 GROWTH 19000 0.210 0.105 0.446 −0.425 3.089 FATA 19000 0.250 0.217 0.177 0.002 0.748 IND_LEVB 19000 0.457 0.423 0.100 0.205 0.708 SHRCR1 19000 0.364 0.343 0.153 0.089 0.750 MB 19000 0.965 0.676 0.895 0.084 6.516 NDTS 19000 0.022 0.019 0.016 0.000 0.074 EXP 19000 0.048 0.042 0.030 0.004 0.170 ETR 19000 0.179 0.165 0.175 −0.508 0.824 VCFOTA 19000 0.049 0.037 0.044 0.002 0.254 VEBITTA 19000 0.029 0.016 0.036 0.001 0.232 MANAHOLD 19000 0.061 0.000 0.142 0.000 0.657 a slightly-low real income tax burden. The ratio of shares held by the largest shareholder (Blockshares) has a mean value of 36.4%, suggesting that the ownership structure of Chinese listed companies is highly concentrated. The average ratio of shares held by top management is only 6.1%; the low management holding implies relatively high agency costs. In our sample, approximately 53.1% of listed firms are state-owned, which indi- cates that the SOEs take up more than a half of the firms in the sample. Overall, most descriptive statistics are consistent with those described by Lu et al. (2015), who studies the type firm ownership on excess leverage. 4.4. Correlation matrix Table 3 reports the correlation matrix between our main variables. The correlation coefficient between EXLEV and GROUP is 0.142, which is positive and statistically significant, indicating that group affiliations may be the main factor that leads to the excess leverage of Chinese listed firms. Both size and SOEs are positively and signifi- cantly correlated with EXLEV, indicating that the level of leverage of SOEs is higher than non-SOEs; this result is close to the findings of numerous previous studies. ROA, NDTS, EXP and MANAHOLD exhibit negative and significant correlations with EXLEV, indicating that management share-holding can effectively reduce the agency costs and lead to the decrease of excess leverage. These findings are generally consistent with the results of previous studies. 5. Empirical analysis and discussion of results 5.1. Univariate analysis Table 4 reports univariate analyses for group affiliation firms and independent firms, respectively. Group affiliations have significantly higher leverage and excess leverage than independent firms. In addition, following previous studies (Antoniou, Guney, & Paudyal, 2008; Booth, Aivazian, Demirgüc-Kunt, & Maksimovic, 2001;Rajan &Zingales, 10 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 3. Correlation matrix. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) (15) (16) (1) EXLEV 1 (2) GROUP 0.142*** 1 (3) SIZE 0.168*** 0.238*** 1 (4) SOE 0.137*** 0.458*** 0.254*** 1 (5) ROA −0.284*** −0.049*** 0.085*** −0.087*** 1 (6) GROWTH 0.087*** −0.050*** 0.145*** −0.091*** 0.183*** 1 (7) FATA 0.018** 0.157*** 0.043*** 0.227*** −0.120*** −0.147*** 1 (8) IND_LEVB 0.217*** 0.153*** 0.139*** 0.223*** −0.067*** −0.026*** −0.045*** 1 (9) SHRCR1 0.017** 0.258*** 0.240*** 0.243*** 0.132*** 0.044*** 0.085*** 0.084*** 1 (10) MB 0.408*** 0.216*** 0.498*** 0.277*** −0.239*** −0.028*** 0.140*** 0.325*** 0.126*** 1 (11) NDTS −0.036*** 0.180*** 0.011 0.197*** −0.115*** −0.185*** 0.788*** −0.112*** 0.102*** 0.058*** 1 (12) EXP −0.093*** −0.074*** −0.340*** −0.058*** 0.003 −0.135*** −0.014** −0.273*** −0.104*** −0.289*** 0.122*** 1 (13) ETR 0.048*** 0.059*** 0.086*** 0.069*** 0.145*** 0.022*** −0.023*** 0.150*** 0.035*** 0.112*** −0.039*** −0.096*** 1 (14) VCFOTA 0.155*** −0.024*** −0.124*** −0.044*** −0.028*** 0.064*** −0.178*** 0.140*** 0.020*** −0.012* −0.126*** −0.049*** 0.043*** 1 (15) VEBITTA 0.051*** −0.033*** −0.213*** −0.043*** −0.229*** 0.022*** 0.048*** −0.019*** −0.071*** −0.113*** 0.108*** 0.159*** −0.145*** 0.256*** 1 (16) MANAHOLD −0.230*** −0.444*** −0.185*** −0.441*** 0.111*** 0.068*** −0.170*** −0.284*** −0.100*** −0.215*** −0.160*** 0.077*** −0.072*** −0.052*** −0.045*** 1 CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 11 Table 4. Univariate test of independent firms and group affiliated firms. Non-Group affiliations Group affiliations Difference Tests Mean Median Mean Median T value Z value LEV 0.400 0.400 0.500 0.510 −0.100*** −33.284*** EXLEV −0.030 −0.030 0.020 0.030 −0.050*** −19.675*** EXLEV2 −0.030 −0.040 0.040 0.050 −0.080*** −27.760*** EXLEV3 −0.030 −0.030 0.040 0.040 −0.070*** −25.327*** 1995), we also use a firm’s leverage minus the optimal leverage measured by the industrial mean and median book leverage level of all Chinese listed firms, to measure the firm’s excess leverage. We then create two new variables for our analysis, i.e., the excess leverage measured by industrial mean leverage (EXLEV2) and the excess leverage measured by the industrial median leverage (EXLEV3). Applying these two proxies of excess leverage (i.e., EXLEV2 and EXLEV3), we have the same results that the level of excess leverage is significantly higher than independent firms, which is consistent with our prediction. Overall, our univariate analysis as reported in Table 4 are consistent with our hypothesis H1b that group affiliations are more likely to have excess leverage than independent firms. 5.2. Multivariate analysis To test the relationship between group controlling and excess leverage, we run Logit regression of the excess leverage dummy variable on our group controlled variable and a vector of control variables that are typically used in the excess leverage literature. Results presented in Table 5 are consistent with our prediction. Column (1) of Table 5 shows that the coefficient on Group is positive and statistically significant at the 5% level, indicating that firms that are group controlled are more likely to have excess leverage than independent firms. Column (2) of Table 5 that repeats the same regression but have controlled the problem of heteroscedasticity reveals the results are unchanged. In addition, we also examine the relationship between the degree of excess leverage and group control. We run the OLS regression of the level of excess leverage on the GROUP Control Variable. Column (3) of Table 5 shows that the coefficient on GROUP is more economically and statistically significant than column (1), which is significant at the 5% level as the former is significant at the 1% level. Column (4) replicates column (3) but has controlled the heteroscedasticity problem, however, results are not altered by this addition. These results specify that compared with independent firms, group- affiliations are more likely to have excess leverage and the degree of excess leverage is much higher. Despite many studies have acknowledged the over-leverage problem of Chinese firms, prior researches have rarely reported which firms exhibit excess leverage. Thus, an investigation of this issue is important to implement the de-leverage policy that has put forward by the Chinese government. Overall, the results in Table 5 suggest that group control has a positive effect on excess leverage both in the likelihood and extend. Our results are consistent with those of He et al. (2013), who reveals that the internal capital markets in Chinese groups are not effective and the Chinese group affiliations rely heavily on loans from banks, resulting in the high level of leverage within the Chinese group affiliations. 12 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 5. Multivariate analysis of group control and excess leverage. (1) (2) (3) (4) Logit Cluster OLS Cluster EXLEV_dum EXLEV_dum EXLEV EXLEV GROUP 0.083** 0.088** 0.013*** 0.013** (2.10) (2.00) (4.97) (2.20) SIZE 0.498*** 0.507*** 0.003*** 0.003 (20.64) (21.07) (2.82) (1.38) SOE −0.144*** −0.130*** −0.009*** −0.009 (−3.36) (−3.02) (−3.48) (−1.49) ROA −10.631*** −11.030*** −0.631*** −0.631*** (−27.94) (−28.79) (−31.35) (−17.66) GROWTH 0.339*** 0.345*** 0.053*** 0.053*** (7.99) (8.10) (19.71) (13.97) FATA 1.453*** 1.482*** 0.059*** 0.059*** (7.95) (8.11) (5.78) (2.73) IND_LEVB −3.911*** −6.405*** 0.099*** 0.099*** (−7.66) (−12.40) (8.04) (3.67) SHRCR1 −0.316** −0.266** −0.022*** −0.022 (−2.50) (−2.11) (−2.83) (−1.33) MB 1.685*** 1.605*** 0.061*** 0.061*** (31.82) (31.35) (39.57) (22.71) NDTS −14.800*** −14.123*** −1.106*** −1.106*** (−7.52) (−7.18) (−9.44) (−4.47) EXP 5.451*** 5.633*** 0.457*** 0.457*** (8.02) (8.27) (11.36) (5.31) ETR 0.276** 0.317*** 0.022*** 0.022** (2.56) (2.94) (3.50) (2.28) VCFOTA 5.806*** 5.378*** 0.524*** 0.524*** (13.26) (12.30) (19.75) (11.47) VEBITTA 0.579 0.789 0.013 0.013 (1.06) (1.43) (0.40) (0.22) MANAHOLD −2.095*** −2.048*** −0.170*** −0.170*** (−13.18) (−13.13) (−16.88) (−9.29) CONSTANT −10.426*** −9.545*** −0.194*** −0.194*** (−18.84) (−17.33) (−7.28) (−3.43) YEAR YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES Observations 19000 19000 19000 19000 Adjusted R 0.273 0.272 Pseudo R 0.271 0.267 Our results are consistent with the Trade-off theory and the Agency Cost theory, which predict a higher leverage level of group affiliations than independent firms. However, this finding is inconsistent with the Pecking order theory predictions that group affiliations are less likely to have excess leverage because of its efficient internal capital market. This is consistent with the opinion of Admati, Demarzo, Hellwig, and Pfleiderer (2018), who finds that shareholders pervasively resist leverage reductions no matter how much such reduction may enhance firm value. Shareholders would instead choose to increase leverage even if the new debt is junior and would reduce firm value. He calls this phenomenon the ‘leverage ratchet effect’. From this point of view, firms with excess leverage are more likely to increase their debt level, which will increase the financial risks and even lead to the bankruptcy of the firm. So, it becomes important and necessary to oversee the problem of excess leverage within Chinese groups. In addition, considering different financing environments faced by SOEs and non- state enterprises, we further investigate the effect of state-ownership on the relation CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 13 between group affiliations and excess leverage. We look at all group-affiliated firms and then separate them into state-owned and private ones. Results are presented in Table 6. The coefficient of SOE is −0.171, which is negative and statistically significant at 1% level, as shown in column 1 of Table 6. The results suggest that the state-owned group- affiliates are less likely to have excess leverage than private ones. To control for the heteroskedasticity in the data, robust standard errors are used (White, 1980). Firm- clustered standard errors are also employed to account for time-series dependence (Petersen, 2009). The coefficients of SOEs are still negative and statistically significant, which suggests that our results are robust. In order to further investigate the extent of excess leverage, we use the continuous variable of excess leverage as the explanatory variable. Column 3 shows that the extent of excess leverage within state-owned group- affiliates is much lower than the private ones, and the coefficient of SOE is −0.015, which is negative and statistically significant at 1% level. The results are consistent with those of Lu et al. (2015), who find that the equity financing advantage of SOEs reduced their need for debt financing. As China maintained a state-dominated financial system in Table 6. Business groups, ownership type and excess leverage. (1) GROUP = 1 (2) GROUP = 1 (3) GROUP = 1 (4) GROUP = 1 Logit Cluster OLS Cluster EXLEV_dum EXLEV_dum EXLEV EXLEV SOE −0.171*** −0.140** −0.015*** −0.017** (−3.12) (−2.54) (−4.61) (−2.10) SIZE 0.425*** 0.415*** 0.000 0.003 (13.89) (13.64) (0.10) (0.77) ROA −10.622*** −10.869*** −0.686*** −0.688*** (−21.16) (−21.55) (−26.47) (−15.27) GROWTH 0.393*** 0.442*** 0.058*** 0.052*** (6.36) (7.06) (16.20) (10.91) FATA 1.623*** 1.705*** 0.061*** 0.094*** (6.94) (7.29) (4.88) (3.13) IND_LEVB −5.782*** −8.185*** 0.073*** −0.022 (−8.64) (−12.13) (4.64) (−0.44) SHRCR1 −0.314* −0.277* −0.041*** −0.033 (−1.91) (−1.68) (−4.32) (−1.61) MB 1.669*** 1.591*** 0.058*** 0.060*** (25.83) (25.58) (32.23) (16.26) NDTS −17.337*** −16.746*** −1.275*** −1.535*** (−7.24) (−6.98) (−9.21) (−4.89) EXP 4.158*** 3.898*** 0.477*** 0.399*** (4.54) (4.24) (9.06) (3.42) ETR 0.396*** 0.395*** 0.021*** 0.023* (2.82) (2.81) (2.71) (1.95) VCFOTA 5.829*** 5.387*** 0.545*** 0.514*** (9.77) (9.08) (15.80) (8.52) VEBITTA 1.063 1.267* 0.006 0.013 (1.42) (1.69) (0.13) (0.16) MANAHOLD −3.238*** −3.562*** −0.298*** −0.264*** (−4.69) (−5.17) (−6.57) (−3.10) CONSTANT −8.021*** −6.825*** −0.079** −0.126 (−11.33) (−9.70) (−2.39) (−1.41) YEAR YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES Observations 9447 9447 9447 9447 Adjusted R 0.258 0.285 Pseudo R 0.269 0.268 14 Y. WANG ET AL. which the government at various levels controls the allocation of financial resources in both banking sector and securities market. Government-guided financial resource allo- cation usually favors a few large-scale SOEs that are important to the economic devel- opment of the country and the specific region. SOEs may also face the problem of soft budget constraints. However, it is rather difficult for most non-state owned enterprises to secure financing through the government-controlled financial system. Consequently, private firms suffer from serious financial repression. In such a context, a business group is likely to serve as an internal capital market to mitigate the financial constraints faced by private firms. Nonetheless, some studies have found that the internal capital market of Chinese groups is inefficient (Ji & Liu, 2014; Shao & Liu, 2008). Many groups finance themselves through tunneling among group members in a pyramid structure. Large and influential firms may be propped up at the expense of other ‘weak’ members in the group; this also leads to the excess leverage of group-affiliated firms. 5.3. Robustness tests 5.3.1. Endogeneity and sample-selection issues The OLS regressions, as noted in prior studies are prone to have selection bias and a potential endogenous problem, as the group-affiliation sample may be selected based on some unobservable factors and these factors could influence the variation in excess leverage across firms. This potential may create a bias in the estimation of the coefficients of group dummy. We use the Heckman (1979) two-stage method to take into account self-selection bias. In the firststage,weestimateaprobit modelofgroup affiliation(dummy) on a set of variables that tend to influence a firm’sgroup affiliation choice. Then we include the Lambda (inverse Mills’ ratio) based on the probit estimate in the previous regression specification to control for potential self-selection bias. We use the following variables as control variables in the above regressions: corporate size, growth and earnings performance(ROA). To capture the potential determination of group affiliation choice, we also include cash and cash equivalent, sales revenue as control variables. The results of the first-stageestimationare shownincolumn1in Table 7. Then based on the estimation with the use of above control variables, we get Lambda(inverse Mills’ ratio). We include the Lambda in the regression, this does not weaken our previous results, as shown in column 2, although the coefficient of Lambda is significantly negative, which partially reflects the effect of group affiliation choice on excess leverage. 5.3.2. Alternative excess leverage measures The literature provides alternative ways to measure excess leverage, which include a firm’s leverage minus the optimal leverage to be measured by the industrial median and mean book leverage level of all Chinese listed firms. We then create two new variables for our regressions: the excess industrial median based leverage (EXLEV2) and industrial mean based leverage (EXLEV3). The results are shown in Table 8. Column 1 and column 3 in Table 8 show the results that group-affiliations have a much higher excess leverage than stand-alone ones as the coefficients are significantly positive, which is consistent with the result presented previously. This finding provides further evidence that our results are not determined by the measure errors of excess leverage. CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 15 Table 7. Robustness tests for potential self-selection bias. (1) First-stage estimation to (2) Regression controlling forself- getLambda (inverse Mills’ ratio) selection bias (Lambda) GROUP EXLEV GROUP 0.011** (2.41) SOE 1.102*** −0.065*** (46.05) (−4.60) ROA −1.101*** −0.406*** (−5.52) (−12.54) SIZE −0.022 −0.033*** (−1.05) (−10.36) GROWTH −0.043* 0.038*** (−1.78) (13.10) CASHEQ −0.403*** (−4.45) SALES 0.241*** (13.52) FATA −0.007 (−0.34) IND_LEVB −0.138*** (−3.58) SHRCR1 0.016 (1.34) MB 0.027*** (13.82) NDTS −0.822*** (−3.85) EXP −0.128 (−1.60) ETR −0.002 (−0.27) VCFOTA 0.114*** (3.42) VEBITTA 0.204*** (4.27) MANAHOLD −0.074*** (−4.41) IMR (λ) −0.109*** (−4.88) CONSTANT −5.038*** 0.941*** (−8.39) (10.26) YEAR YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES Observations 19000 19000 Pseudo R 0.224 Adjusted R 0.215 To control for the heteroskedasticity in the data, robust standard errors are used. Firm- clustered standard errors are also employed to account for time-series dependence (Petersen, 2009). 5.3.3. Change sample period A characteristic of the Chinese capital market before year 2007 was a split share structure where almost 70 percent of Chinese listed firms’ outstanding shares were non- tradable shares (NTS) mainly held by block holders, including controlling shareholders. The remaining shares were tradable and mainly held by domestic individuals and institutional investors (Firth, Lin, & Zou, 2010; Li, Xin, & Yu, 2011). The Chinese 16 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 8. Robustness tests using an alternative measure. (1) (2) (3) (4) OLS Cluster OLS Cluster EXLEV2 EXLEV2 EXLEV3 EXLEV3 GROUP 0.015*** 0.015** 0.015*** 0.015** (5.78) (2.54) (5.67) (2.49) SIZE 0.044*** 0.044*** 0.045*** 0.045*** (38.40) (18.55) (39.07) (18.81) SOE 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 (0.49) (0.21) (0.23) (0.10) ROA −0.988*** −0.988*** −0.999*** −0.999*** (−49.69) (−27.65) (−50.34) (−28.02) GROWTH 0.027*** 0.027*** 0.026*** 0.026*** (10.75) (7.99) (10.45) (7.80) FATA 0.088*** 0.088*** 0.089*** 0.089*** (8.67) (4.14) (8.83) (4.21) IND_LEVB −0.414*** −0.414*** −0.602*** −0.602*** (−34.08) (−15.57) (−49.71) (−22.58) SHRCR1 −0.049*** −0.049*** −0.050*** −0.050*** (−6.58) (−3.06) (−6.65) (−3.10) MB 0.060*** 0.060*** 0.060*** 0.060*** (39.03) (22.88) (39.17) (22.94) NDTS −0.826*** −0.826*** −0.865*** −0.865*** (−7.12) (−3.40) (−7.46) (−3.56) EXP 0.416*** 0.416*** 0.407*** 0.407*** (10.50) (4.89) (10.31) (4.79) ETR 0.027*** 0.027*** 0.027*** 0.027*** (4.24) (2.76) (4.33) (2.82) VCFOTA 0.528*** 0.528*** 0.519*** 0.519*** (20.30) (11.74) (19.98) (11.55) VEBITTA 0.101*** 0.101* 0.102*** 0.102* (3.06) (1.66) (3.11) (1.69) MANAHOLD −0.195*** −0.195*** −0.191*** −0.191*** (−21.66) (−11.68) (−21.26) (−11.43) CONSTANT −0.826*** −0.826*** −0.752*** −0.752*** (−31.75) (−14.80) (−28.97) (−13.45) YEAR YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES Observations 19000 19000 19000 19000 Adjusted R 0.390 0.390 0.401 0.401 government implemented the NTS reform in 2005 to solve the problems associated with the split share structure. The reform was expanded to include all listed firms in August 2005, and by the end of 2007, the reform represented over 97% of all Chinese A-share listed companies (Li, Xin, & Yu, 2011). The NTS reform expects to affect the debt financing behaviors of companies and influence the relationship between group control and excess leverage. Therefore, we exclude the sample prior to 2008 to avoid the possible effect of such special events. Table 9 shows the results, indicating the coeffi- cients of group dummy are all significantly positive when we exclude the sample before 2008. This finding suggests that our results are not determined by the NTS reform. Group-affiliations show a relatively higher leverage ratio than unaffiliated ones. 5.3.4. Considering the direction of excess leverage In order to reduce the effect of the direction of excess leverage on the relationship between group-control and excess leverage, we split our sample into two sub-samples, including the over-leveraged(whose actual leverage is higher than the optimal leverage) CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 17 Table 9. Robustness tests with changed sample period (2007–2016). (1) (2) (3) EXLEV EXLEV2 EXLEV3 GROUP 0.012*** 0.013*** 0.013*** (4.10) (4.68) (4.69) SIZE 0.012*** 0.050*** 0.049*** (8.05) (34.60) (34.41) SOE −0.007** 0.006** 0.006** (−2.47) (2.03) (2.03) ROA −0.698*** −1.036*** −1.035*** (−31.18) (−46.83) (−46.80) GROWTH 0.045*** 0.019*** 0.019*** (16.37) (7.55) (7.34) FATA 0.074*** 0.104*** 0.104*** (6.01) (8.53) (8.55) IND_LEVB −0.005 −0.408*** −0.675*** (−0.12) (−10.31) (−17.08) SHRCR1 −0.010 −0.033*** −0.033*** (−1.21) (−4.03) (−4.05) MB 0.060*** 0.064*** 0.065*** (31.07) (33.26) (33.71) NDTS −1.194*** −0.905*** −0.916*** (−8.98) (−6.87) (−6.95) EXP 0.456*** 0.449*** 0.448*** (9.73) (9.75) (9.72) ETR 0.020*** 0.027*** 0.026*** (2.98) (3.83) (3.79) VCFOTA 0.524*** 0.542*** 0.541*** (17.91) (18.91) (18.89) VEBITTA −0.019 0.071* 0.074** (−0.51) (1.95) (2.03) MANAHOLD −0.139*** −0.170*** −0.169*** (−13.34) (−18.28) (−18.27) CONSTANT −0.285*** −0.899*** −0.766*** (−7.58) (−24.39) (−20.76) YEAR YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES Observations 16000 16000 16000 Adjusted R 0.299 0.428 0.435 sample and the under-leveraged(whose actual leverage is lower than the optimal leverage) sample to do the regression respectively. Table 10 presents the results of this analysis. The relation between group-control and excess leverage is significantly positive when the firms are over-leveraged, but the coefficients of group dummy are not significant when the firms are under-leveraged. It suggests that the positive relation between group control and excess leverage only exhibits in firms whose actual leverage exceeds the optimal leverage. This finding also verifies our results are not affected by the direction of excess leverage. 5.3.5. Considering the size effect The existing literatures suggest that firm size plays an important role in the determina- tion of a firms’ debt financing. Generally speaking, the size of group-affiliations are much larger than those independent ones. In order to reduce the impact of firm size, outlying size at the top and bottom 25% are excluded from the sample. We repeat the regression using the sample whose size are between the 25% to 75%. The results are shown in 18 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 10. Robustness tests considering the direction of excess leverage. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) EXLEV > 0 EXLEV < 0 EXLEV2 > 0 EXLEV2 < 0 EXLEV3 > 0 EXLEV3 < 0 GROUP 0.013*** 0.003 0.010*** 0.004 0.010*** 0.004 (5.91) (1.33) (4.21) (1.60) (4.29) (0.87) SIZE −0.018*** 0.008*** 0.006*** 0.027*** 0.007*** 0.027*** (−16.65) (6.00) (5.26) (19.34) (5.81) (9.78) SOE −0.004* −0.005* 0.007*** −0.003 0.007*** −0.004 (−1.80) (−1.78) (2.85) (−1.14) (2.81) (−0.77) ROA −0.431*** −0.017 −0.608*** −0.185*** −0.631*** −0.173*** (−22.54) (−0.88) (−29.84) (−9.53) (−30.13) (−5.21) GROWTH 0.033*** 0.023*** 0.014*** 0.009*** 0.013*** 0.009*** (15.53) (8.59) (6.44) (3.63) (5.75) (3.00) FATA −0.012 0.084*** −0.006 0.095*** −0.004 0.097*** (−1.33) (8.15) (−0.60) (8.95) (−0.45) (4.80) IND_LEVB −0.104*** 0.034 −0.429*** −0.197*** −0.563*** −0.304*** (−4.20) (1.11) (−15.91) (−6.82) (−19.88) (−6.65) SHRCR1 0.010 −0.014** −0.006 −0.012* −0.010 −0.013 (1.59) (−1.98) (−0.90) (−1.75) (−1.43) (−0.97) MB 0.026*** 0.060*** 0.035*** 0.076*** 0.035*** 0.077*** (20.92) (19.51) (26.74) (22.40) (26.10) (12.42) NDTS −0.637*** −0.697*** −0.524*** −0.579*** −0.547*** −0.667*** (−6.27) (−6.49) (−5.11) (−5.14) (−5.18) (−3.31) EXP −0.034 0.527*** −0.088** 0.522*** −0.103*** 0.511*** (−0.95) (13.90) (−2.33) (13.80) (−2.67) (6.48) ETR 0.002 0.013* −0.001 0.025*** −0.001 0.024** (0.42) (1.96) (−0.14) (3.61) (−0.17) (2.35) VCFOTA 0.137*** 0.253*** 0.186*** 0.267*** 0.221*** 0.276*** (6.50) (9.42) (8.10) (10.60) (9.26) (6.97) VEBITTA 0.210*** −0.202*** 0.327*** −0.139*** 0.318*** −0.143*** (7.34) (−6.46) (11.10) (−4.44) (10.55) (−2.94) MANAHOLD −0.086*** −0.047*** −0.104*** −0.060*** −0.116*** −0.057*** (−7.54) (−5.79) (−9.52) (−8.21) (−10.66) (−4.71) CONSTANT 0.527*** −0.402*** 0.143*** −0.721*** 0.192*** −0.667*** (19.72) (−12.76) (5.19) (−22.31) (6.70) (−11.28) YEAR YES YES YES YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES YES YES YES Observations 9447 9104 9447 9104 9447 9104 Adjusted R 0.202 0.139 0.301 0.214 0.323 0.224 Table 11, indicating our results remain unchanged. The relationship between group- control and excess leverage is still significantly positive. 6. Additional tests In order to find out some effective mechanisms to solve the problem of excess leverage within our business groups, we conduct the following analysis from the perspective of inside and outside governance. 6.1. Business groups, corporate governance and excess leverage Agency theory suggests that debt can act as a self-enforcing mechanism to mitigate the conflicts of interest between managers and shareholders (Grossman & Hart, 1982; Jensen, 1986). Emphasizing the use of debt as an effective way to mitigate agency problem, agency theory also highlights the importance of board monitoring in con- straining managerial behavior (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). In previous empirical studies, CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 19 Table 11. Robustness tests considering the size effect. (1) (2) (3) EXLEV EXLEV2 EXLEV3 GROUP 0.009** 0.009** 0.009** (2.21) (2.31) (2.39) SIZE 0.020*** 0.057*** 0.057*** (3.93) (11.31) (11.31) SOE 0.001 0.013*** 0.014*** (0.18) (3.26) (3.41) ROA −0.547*** −0.892*** −0.890*** (−16.63) (−27.38) (−27.29) GROWTH 0.055*** 0.028*** 0.027*** (12.17) (6.58) (6.43) FATA 0.116*** 0.139*** 0.141*** (6.75) (8.19) (8.30) IND_LEVB 0.015 −0.445*** −0.666*** (0.29) (−9.08) (−13.56) SHRCR1 0.015 −0.009 −0.010 (1.20) (−0.74) (−0.81) MB 0.106*** 0.112*** 0.112*** (25.82) (27.33) (27.31) NDTS −1.459*** −1.174*** 0.112*** (−8.00) (−6.51) (27.31) EXP 0.559*** 0.534*** 0.538*** (8.81) (8.55) (8.59) ETR 0.025** 0.035*** 0.035*** (2.54) (3.56) (3.52) VCFOTA 0.533*** 0.535*** 0.538*** (12.70) (13.04) (13.11) VEBITTA 0.057 0.126** 0.127** (1.07) (2.41) (2.42) MANAHOLD −0.170***(−16.88) −0.134***(−10.11) −0.132***(−10.01) CONSTANT −0.103*** −1.162*** −1.063*** (−7.02) (−10.64) (−9.72) YEAR YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES Observations 7728 7728 7728 Adjusted R 0.306 0.354 0.361 board size and board independence are frequently used as proxies for board monitoring and board effectiveness. Following the literature, we also use these two proxies to examine their effects on group-affiliations’ excess leverage. We believe that the effec- tiveness of the board of directors plays an important role in the governance of excess leverage in business groups. Column 1 of Table 12 reports the results concerning board governance, showing that the excess leverage of group-affiliations decreased signifi- cantly when the firm has an effective board. The result suggests that a better corporate governance mechanism can exert a great help in reducing excess leverage. 6.2. Business groups, institutional environment and excess leverage The study of Faccio, Lang, and Young (2010) shows that leverage enables controlling shareholders to control more resources without diluting their control over the corpora- tion. However, the institutional environment with a better investor protection can prohibit the tunneling behavior of the controlling shareholders through excess leverage. One of the prominent characteristics of the Chinese economy is the very high level of 20 Y. WANG ET AL. Table 12. Business groups, internal and external governance mechanisms and excess leverage. (1) Corporate governance (2) Institutional environment (3) Big 4 auditing variables EXLEV EXLEV EXLEV GDSIZE −0.004** (−2.52) GDIR −0.105* (−1.93) GROULAW −0.001** (−1.97) GROUBIG4 −0.035*** (−2.75) GDRA 0.009 (1.32) GROUP 0.089*** 0.022*** 0.014*** (2.94) (4.68) (5.24) DIR 0.009 (0.23) DSIZE 0.004*** (2.70) DRA −0.002 (−0.55) LAWSCORE −0.001*** (−3.77) BIG4 −0.010 (−0.87) SIZE 0.048*** 0.046*** 0.049*** (31.35) (39.84) (36.01) SOE 0.010*** −0.002 0.000 (3.02) (−0.81) (0.14) ROA −1.059*** −1.001*** −0.997*** (−42.10) (−50.50) (−49.10) GROWTH 0.021*** 0.026*** 0.021*** (7.12) (10.19) (8.54) FATA 0.067*** 0.079*** 0.103*** (5.01) (7.80) (9.61) IND_LEVB −0.640*** −0.600*** −0.644*** (−44.27) (−49.58) (−21.32) SHRCR1 −0.046*** −0.048*** −0.038*** (−5.03) (−6.48) (−5.13) MB 0.064*** 0.059*** 0.067*** (32.52) (38.25) (38.63) NDTS −0.504*** −0.830*** −1.047*** (−3.33) (−7.17) (−8.98) EXP 0.439*** 0.436*** 0.399*** (8.80) (10.99) (9.76) ETR 0.022*** 0.028*** 0.028*** (2.73) (4.49) (4.53) VCFOTA 0.606*** 0.511*** 0.506*** (18.30) (19.68) (19.51) VEBITTA 0.068 0.087*** 0.128*** (1.58) (2.66) (3.94) MANAHOLD −0.155*** −0.188*** −0.182*** (−15.78) (−20.67) (−20.04) CONSTANT −0.851*** −0.770*** −0.827*** (−21.36) (−29.50) (−25.74) YEAR YES YES YES INDUSTRY YES YES YES Observations 19000 19000 19000 Adjusted R 0.439 0.403 0.424 uneven distribution of economic resources across the country. We believe the difference in regional market developments has profound effects on the relationship between business groups and excess leverage. To determine whether the effect of business CHINA JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING STUDIES 21 groups on excess leverage differs under different market environments, we use an index of market intermediaries and legal environment. The index covers the development score for each province and major municipality (Fan & Wang, 2017). Complied by China’s National Research Institute (NERI), the index covers a number of catalogue including the percentages of lawyers and registered certified public accountants to the total popula- tion, market order, legal enforcement efficiency, intellectual property rights protection, and consumer rights protection. We use the continuous variable Lawscore as the proxy of investor protection to study the governance effect of external institutional environ- ment on the excess leverage phenomenon within group-affiliations. Column 2 of Table 12 shows the results, revealing the coefficient of GROULAW (the interaction of group dummy and Lawscore) is significantly positive. This finding suggests that a better institutional environment can effectively reduce the excess leverage within business groups. The results are consistent with the view of He et al. (2013). 6.3. Business groups, audit quality and excess leverage Financial statements as primary sources of information for capital markets. External audits contribute to the quality of financial reporting by providing an independent assessment of the accuracy and fairness of financial statements representing the results of operation, financial position and cash flow in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles. High auditing quality can reduce the information asymmetry between the shareholders and creditors through providing fairly and timely accounting information. This expects to reduce a company’s excess leverage behavior and a creditor’s willingness to supply more capital. Meanwhile, higher auditing quality can help the shareholders to monitor the risk-taking behaviors of affiliations’ managers more effectively. Teoh and Wong (1993) argue that Big 4 auditors actually provide higher quality service than non-Big 4 auditors and their study finds that the earnings response coefficients (ERCs) of Big 4 auditors’ clients are significantly higher than those of non-Big 4 clients. Becker et al. (1998) document that discretionary accruals of Big 4 auditors are smaller than those of non-Big4 auditors. Similarly, Wu, Yang, and Lu (2015) suggest that investors’ perception of financial reporting quality is higher when a firm’s financial reports are audited by Big 4 auditors. Similar to Teoh and Wong (1993), we define a high-quality audit as an audit that improves the credibility of financial statement information and allows investors to make a better estimate of the firm value. We operationalize audit quality by using auditor size, Big4 and non-Big4 to identify a high- quality service, and further investigate the governance effect of audit quality on the excess leverage of group-affiliations. The empirical results are shown in Column 3 in Table 12, presenting the coefficient of GROUBIG4 is significantly negative, which indi- cates that high audit quality can exert an effective governance effect on group- affiliations’ excess leverage behavior and reduce firm financial risks. 7. Conclusion The issue of de-leverage of the non-financial sector has attracted much attention since the proposal of the supply-size structural reform years ago. Previous empirical studies have proved that the phenomenon of excess leverage is prominent in non- 22 Y. WANG ET AL. financial sector, and reducing the level of debt in non-financial sector is the key to solve the excess leverage problem in China. However, few studies have systematically investigated the effect of group control on the excess leverage policy and examined the role of internal and external governance mechanisms on excess leverage. In this study, we address the issues of ‘which firms have excess leverage’ and ‘how to reduce the excess leverage of these firms’.We find that the likelihood and extent of excess leverage in group-affiliations are much higher than independent ones, which indicates that the business groups’ internal capital market is inefficient. Also, we find that the excess leverage phenomenon is more pronounced in private group- affiliations than the affiliated firms who are state-owned. This is because SOEs in China have advantages in equity and debt financing, while the non-SOEs receive low priority from either the banking sector or equity markets in acquiring external finance for their investment projects. Therefore, if a private firm is group affiliated, it is more likely to show greater marginal effect than a SOE, ceteris paribus. Business groups are likely to serve as capital acquiring channel for group members, mitigating the financial constraints faced by private firms in China through the provision of insurance and cross funding to their members, while it also creates the problem of excess leverage. We also find an effective corporate governance mechanism can reduce the excess leverage within the group-affiliations. In addition, institutional environment with a better investor protection can prohibit the tunneling behavior of controlling shareholders with the use of excess leverage. 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Journal

China Journal of Accounting StudiesTaylor & Francis

Published: Jan 2, 2019

Keywords: Group control; ownership type; excess leverage; internal and external governance

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