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The aim of the study is to determine the magnitude of impacts of population pressure on agricultural land use in Nigeria. This is necessary, because there is currently lack of comparative empirical works needed for general conclusions on the changing population-land relationships and the associated agricultural land use in the country. Rather, what exist are pockets of studies centered on few localities in some states of the country thereby making comparism impossible between the states in the country. This creates the need for a national level analysis. To achieve the aim, the linear regression coefficients of the selected variables were employed in the computation of the impacts using the STIRPAT model. Thereafter, the states were grouped according to their degrees of impacts using hierarchical cluster analysis and mapped by Arc View 3.2a GIS. The results show that the model accounts for 95% of the variation of impacts on agricultural land use and that the south eastern states are experiencing the severest impact due to rural population pressure. The study, therefore, apart from successfully testing the applicability of STIRPAT model in the determination of the impacts of demographic variables on agricultural land use, provides a framework for prioritising the states in the country for appropriate agriculture and rural development.
Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy – Springer Journals
Published: Mar 17, 2011
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