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Set of Methods and Procedures for Analyzing and Forecasting the Development of the Eastern Regions of the Russian Federation

Set of Methods and Procedures for Analyzing and Forecasting the Development of the Eastern... —A scheme has been developed for assessing the impact of investments on the GRP growth in a region, the country, and the eastern zone of the Russian Federation, based on an analysis of the investment cycle investments–fixed assets–GRP–investments, the movement of the age strata of fixed assets, and their capital productivity. Triple helix models of interaction of the main factors of regional development (GRP, investment, and household income) in a multiregional system are proposed. The method of coordinating the conditions for the development of regions of different hierarchical levels is substantiated, in particular, the correct translation of the key macroeconomic parameters of the country’s economic development to regions. Its interpretation is proposed in terms of the triple helix model based on the center–periphery approach. Algorithms for joint use of the proposed methods in a set of simulated regional macromodels have been developed. The features of the socioeconomic situation of the eastern regions of the Russian Federation have been studied, experimental calculations of the regional development for the period up to 2035 have been performed and analyzed using a moderately optimistic scenario of the growth levels of key parameters of the economy (population size and income, growth in the share of investments in GRP, etc.). http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Regional Research of Russia Springer Journals

Set of Methods and Procedures for Analyzing and Forecasting the Development of the Eastern Regions of the Russian Federation

Regional Research of Russia , Volume 11 (Suppl 1) – Dec 1, 2021

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Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2021. ISSN 2079-9705, Regional Research of Russia, 2021, Vol. 11, Suppl. 1, pp. S65–S77. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd., 2021. Russian Text © The Author(s), 2021, published in Region: Ekonomika i Sotsiologiya, 2021, No. 3 (111), pp. 3–35.
ISSN
2079-9705
eISSN
2079-9713
DOI
10.1134/s2079970522010087
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

—A scheme has been developed for assessing the impact of investments on the GRP growth in a region, the country, and the eastern zone of the Russian Federation, based on an analysis of the investment cycle investments–fixed assets–GRP–investments, the movement of the age strata of fixed assets, and their capital productivity. Triple helix models of interaction of the main factors of regional development (GRP, investment, and household income) in a multiregional system are proposed. The method of coordinating the conditions for the development of regions of different hierarchical levels is substantiated, in particular, the correct translation of the key macroeconomic parameters of the country’s economic development to regions. Its interpretation is proposed in terms of the triple helix model based on the center–periphery approach. Algorithms for joint use of the proposed methods in a set of simulated regional macromodels have been developed. The features of the socioeconomic situation of the eastern regions of the Russian Federation have been studied, experimental calculations of the regional development for the period up to 2035 have been performed and analyzed using a moderately optimistic scenario of the growth levels of key parameters of the economy (population size and income, growth in the share of investments in GRP, etc.).

Journal

Regional Research of RussiaSpringer Journals

Published: Dec 1, 2021

Keywords: economics of federalism; triple helix models; forecasts; strategic planning; regions; Asian Russia; Siberia

References