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P.F. Verhulst (1838)
Notice sur la loi que la population suit dans son accroissementCorresp. Math. et Phys., 10
P. Verhulst
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This communication presents a very simple model for the global growth of the human population. It is shown that the solution of the simple equation [Figure not available: see fulltext.] describes the experimental data remarkably well. This equation is derived by introducing a new, local concept: the individual quality of life and by assuming that human breeding strategy consists in keeping this quantity constant through the ages. However the model should be enlarged with a saturation mechanism if future growth is to be described.
Acta Biotheoretica – Springer Journals
Published: Nov 12, 2004
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