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Causality relationship between the photovoltaic market and its manufacturing in China, Germany, the US, and Japan

Causality relationship between the photovoltaic market and its manufacturing in China, Germany,... Abstract This paper aims to investigate the Granger causality relationships between the photovoltaic (PV) market scale and PV manufacturing development in China, Germany, the US, and Japan, and consequently provide recommendations for strategic investment and industrial policy making. The empirical results show that the growth of the market scale caused the increase in innovation scale in the four countries except China. Moreover, there were bidirectional causalities between them in Germany and in the US, respectively, suggesting that the strategic perspective and the formation of a virtuous circle could make PV industry policies cost effective. Only in China did the growth of the market scale cause the increase in production scale, implying significant market risk for the manufacturing sector. The empirical result shows that the manufacturing sector can affect the dynamics of the market scale. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png "Frontiers in Energy" Springer Journals

Causality relationship between the photovoltaic market and its manufacturing in China, Germany, the US, and Japan

"Frontiers in Energy" , Volume 5 (1): 6 – Mar 1, 2011

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Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
2011 Higher Education Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
ISSN
2095-1701
eISSN
1673-7504
DOI
10.1007/s11708-010-0135-5
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Abstract This paper aims to investigate the Granger causality relationships between the photovoltaic (PV) market scale and PV manufacturing development in China, Germany, the US, and Japan, and consequently provide recommendations for strategic investment and industrial policy making. The empirical results show that the growth of the market scale caused the increase in innovation scale in the four countries except China. Moreover, there were bidirectional causalities between them in Germany and in the US, respectively, suggesting that the strategic perspective and the formation of a virtuous circle could make PV industry policies cost effective. Only in China did the growth of the market scale cause the increase in production scale, implying significant market risk for the manufacturing sector. The empirical result shows that the manufacturing sector can affect the dynamics of the market scale.

Journal

"Frontiers in Energy"Springer Journals

Published: Mar 1, 2011

References