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Predicting Juvenile Delinquency

Predicting Juvenile Delinquency A version of the 3 Factor Social Prediction Table was applied to a representative sampleof 388 boys selected from six schools in a large urban community in Australia. Thiswas part of a larger study of the prediction of juvenile delinquency. The three factorratings were obtained from data collected when these boys were in 5th grade (agerange 9-12 years). A follow-up was conducted 10 years later to determine whichboys had had official police contact for criminal offences. It was found that this versionof the Glueck 3 Factor Social Prediction Table applied prospectively and not, as usual,retrospectively, did not predict official juvenile delinquency. It was concluded thatfor a representative sample, and using objectively based data, measures of social classand ecological area are more likely to be appropriate and efficient as predictors ofdelinquency, than the three family factors in the Gluecks Social Prediction Table, exceptperhaps in cases where these have been retrospectively applied. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Australian & New Zealand Journal of Criminology SAGE

Predicting Juvenile Delinquency

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References (20)

Publisher
SAGE
Copyright
Copyright © by SAGE Publications
ISSN
0004-8658
eISSN
1837-9273
DOI
10.1177/000486587200500304
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

A version of the 3 Factor Social Prediction Table was applied to a representative sampleof 388 boys selected from six schools in a large urban community in Australia. Thiswas part of a larger study of the prediction of juvenile delinquency. The three factorratings were obtained from data collected when these boys were in 5th grade (agerange 9-12 years). A follow-up was conducted 10 years later to determine whichboys had had official police contact for criminal offences. It was found that this versionof the Glueck 3 Factor Social Prediction Table applied prospectively and not, as usual,retrospectively, did not predict official juvenile delinquency. It was concluded thatfor a representative sample, and using objectively based data, measures of social classand ecological area are more likely to be appropriate and efficient as predictors ofdelinquency, than the three family factors in the Gluecks Social Prediction Table, exceptperhaps in cases where these have been retrospectively applied.

Journal

Australian & New Zealand Journal of CriminologySAGE

Published: Sep 1, 1972

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