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Movement of residents through multilevel lifetime carefacilities is an integral partof the facility's operations and is of significant interestfrom afacility managementperspective. This article details how Markovian matrices can be used in theprediction and analysis processes. Based on an application of this process, itappears that Markovian matrices are a practical way to analyze and project themovement of residents through MLCFs. The projection results were accurate inover 90% of the cases. However, projections based on substate transitionalprobabilities made an almost imperceptible improvement in the overall projections. Primary limitations of the projections were the relatively high inaccuracyrate (15%) in projecting openings and the width of the range within which 80% ofobservation are expected to occur.
Journal of Applied Gerontology – SAGE
Published: Sep 1, 1987
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