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Growth, Stagnation or Retrogression? On the Accuracy of Economic Observations, Tanzania, 1961–2001

Growth, Stagnation or Retrogression? On the Accuracy of Economic Observations, Tanzania, 1961–2001 Statistics on African economic growth are widely known to be inaccurate, but the extent and nature of these inaccuracies and their implications for the users of the data have not been rigorously assessed. This article investigates measurement issues of economic growth in post-colonial Tanzania. It is shown here that conclusions on Tanzania's development performance are conditioned by selection of the source of growth evidence. The article argues for an agnostic perspective on Tanzanian economic growth. Modelling efforts of African growth are more sophisticated than the quality of the data justifies. The policy implications are clear. For producers, there needs to be stronger investment into data collection in African economies, and for users, greater caution utilised in quantitative macro studies. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of African Economies Oxford University Press

Growth, Stagnation or Retrogression? On the Accuracy of Economic Observations, Tanzania, 1961–2001

Journal of African Economies , Volume 20 (3) – Jun 22, 2011

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References (32)

Publisher
Oxford University Press
Copyright
© The author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Centre for the Study of African Economies. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com
Subject
Articles
ISSN
0963-8024
eISSN
1464-3723
DOI
10.1093/jae/ejr003
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Statistics on African economic growth are widely known to be inaccurate, but the extent and nature of these inaccuracies and their implications for the users of the data have not been rigorously assessed. This article investigates measurement issues of economic growth in post-colonial Tanzania. It is shown here that conclusions on Tanzania's development performance are conditioned by selection of the source of growth evidence. The article argues for an agnostic perspective on Tanzanian economic growth. Modelling efforts of African growth are more sophisticated than the quality of the data justifies. The policy implications are clear. For producers, there needs to be stronger investment into data collection in African economies, and for users, greater caution utilised in quantitative macro studies.

Journal

Journal of African EconomiesOxford University Press

Published: Jun 22, 2011

Keywords: JEL classification O11 O47 N17

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