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Load forecast of industries in Beijing based on system dynamics simulation method

Load forecast of industries in Beijing based on system dynamics simulation method Power consumption is influenced by many factors. A great deal of events such as the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games will greatly accelerate the increase of power consumption of Beijing. From the view of system dynamics, this paper analyses the causal relationship of these factors and constructs the simulation system for electricity and the economy to forecast power demand, which is composed of GDP and electricity consumption intensity, etc. Finally, the model was used to forecast the power consumption for Beijing and proved to be comprehensive, accurate and practical. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png International Journal of Enterprise Network Management Inderscience Publishers

Load forecast of industries in Beijing based on system dynamics simulation method

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Publisher
Inderscience Publishers
Copyright
Copyright © Inderscience Enterprises Ltd. All rights reserved
ISSN
1748-1252
eISSN
1748-1260
DOI
10.1504/IJENM.2008.020641
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Power consumption is influenced by many factors. A great deal of events such as the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games will greatly accelerate the increase of power consumption of Beijing. From the view of system dynamics, this paper analyses the causal relationship of these factors and constructs the simulation system for electricity and the economy to forecast power demand, which is composed of GDP and electricity consumption intensity, etc. Finally, the model was used to forecast the power consumption for Beijing and proved to be comprehensive, accurate and practical.

Journal

International Journal of Enterprise Network ManagementInderscience Publishers

Published: Jan 1, 2008

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