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The operation of existing infrastructures is often inefficient and subject to failures. When a failure occurs, various stakeholders need to make decisions that are specific to the failure type and bear little resemblance to decisions faced during normal operation. In this work, we demonstrate a model-based approach to making rational decisions in such situations. Agent-based models serve as a suitable paradigm for modelling complex sociotechnical systems. Given the broad similarities between different networked infrastructure systems, an ontology has been developed as the foundation for a 'model factory' for such systems. A specific application of this model factory to a refinery supply chain system is described. Further, the use of this simulation model for decision support to manage an abnormal situation in the supply chain is reported.
International Journal of Critical Infrastructures – Inderscience Publishers
Published: Jan 1, 2009
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