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A fire management decision support systems to minimise economic losses: a case study in a petrochemical complex

A fire management decision support systems to minimise economic losses: a case study in a... Fires are very expensive to fight and may result in devastating human, economic, and environmental effects. Due to limited fire management resources and budget constraints, fire management becomes increasingly challenging. The increased interdependencies among existing infrastructure systems make economic losses induced by fires very severe and difficult to predict. Despite recent advances in fire management decision support systems (FMDSSs), economic analysis capabilities have not received enough attention in these systems. Efficient FMDSS incorporates economic considerations to determine optimal fire fighting tactics and strategies. This paper proposes an FMDSS for developing optimal fire management plans. The proposed system adopts the cost-plus-net-value change (C + NVC) concept to evaluate the economic efficiency of the plans. In order to capture the net value change of goods and services due to fires, an infrastructure interdependency simulator (i2Sim) is used to incorporate the interaction among infrastructure systems. The proposed FMDSS is capable of developing long-term (strategic) plans and short-term (operational) plans. The applicability of the proposed system is demonstrated using a case study involving multiple fire incidents in a large petrochemical complex. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png International Journal of Critical Infrastructures Inderscience Publishers

A fire management decision support systems to minimise economic losses: a case study in a petrochemical complex

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Publisher
Inderscience Publishers
Copyright
Copyright © Inderscience Enterprises Ltd
ISSN
1475-3219
eISSN
1741-8038
DOI
10.1504/IJCIS.2018.091933
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Fires are very expensive to fight and may result in devastating human, economic, and environmental effects. Due to limited fire management resources and budget constraints, fire management becomes increasingly challenging. The increased interdependencies among existing infrastructure systems make economic losses induced by fires very severe and difficult to predict. Despite recent advances in fire management decision support systems (FMDSSs), economic analysis capabilities have not received enough attention in these systems. Efficient FMDSS incorporates economic considerations to determine optimal fire fighting tactics and strategies. This paper proposes an FMDSS for developing optimal fire management plans. The proposed system adopts the cost-plus-net-value change (C + NVC) concept to evaluate the economic efficiency of the plans. In order to capture the net value change of goods and services due to fires, an infrastructure interdependency simulator (i2Sim) is used to incorporate the interaction among infrastructure systems. The proposed FMDSS is capable of developing long-term (strategic) plans and short-term (operational) plans. The applicability of the proposed system is demonstrated using a case study involving multiple fire incidents in a large petrochemical complex.

Journal

International Journal of Critical InfrastructuresInderscience Publishers

Published: Jan 1, 2018

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