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Why California’s ‘Three Strikes’ Fails as Crime and Economic Policy, and What to Do

Why California’s ‘Three Strikes’ Fails as Crime and Economic Policy, and What to Do Abstract Although political leaders and the public believe that California’s “tough on crime” policies, most notably its “Three Strikes” sentencing framework, put into effect in 1994, are responsible for a 100% crime drop in California since 1992, the evidence from research and a logical examination of data on violent crime state by state over the past 50 years conclusively shows this is not the case. A multivariate time series model for California over the last five decades shows that the imposition of Three Strikes in 1994 has had no impact on violent crime in the state, but alcohol consumption and unemployment have important impacts on the rate of violent crime. If these results are correct, the budget of California has suffered a tremendous burden caused by the excess imprisonment of many nonviolent offenders under the Three Strikes policy. The time has come to take action to wean California from its obsession with punishment and help relieve the budget crises on a permanent basis by revising California Prison Policy. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png California Journal of Politics and Policy de Gruyter

Why California’s ‘Three Strikes’ Fails as Crime and Economic Policy, and What to Do

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Publisher
de Gruyter
Copyright
Copyright © 2012 by the
ISSN
2194-6132
eISSN
1944-4370
DOI
10.1515/cjpp-2012-0008
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Abstract Although political leaders and the public believe that California’s “tough on crime” policies, most notably its “Three Strikes” sentencing framework, put into effect in 1994, are responsible for a 100% crime drop in California since 1992, the evidence from research and a logical examination of data on violent crime state by state over the past 50 years conclusively shows this is not the case. A multivariate time series model for California over the last five decades shows that the imposition of Three Strikes in 1994 has had no impact on violent crime in the state, but alcohol consumption and unemployment have important impacts on the rate of violent crime. If these results are correct, the budget of California has suffered a tremendous burden caused by the excess imprisonment of many nonviolent offenders under the Three Strikes policy. The time has come to take action to wean California from its obsession with punishment and help relieve the budget crises on a permanent basis by revising California Prison Policy.

Journal

California Journal of Politics and Policy – de Gruyter

Published: Jul 29, 2012

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