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Chancy Causation in Tort Law

Chancy Causation in Tort Law AbstractChancy causation is where the cause of an event can only be attributed probabilistically. Contrary to the understanding popular in legal theory, scientific fact plays only a minimal role in chancy causation cases. As a matter of metaphysics, factual inquiry can only determine whether an event has a tendency to cause an outcome. Yet tort doctrine requires that the plaintiff prove a counterfactual: that but for the event, the outcome would not have occurred. Understanding that in chancy causation cases proving the counterfactual is impossible is the first step towards a discussion of what really ought to matter in chancy causation cases: whether imposing liability is normatively desirable. Methodologically, the Essay builds on scholarship about the metaphysics of causation as a first step to understanding this legal concept. If it is true that causation cannot be pinned down deterministically, as chancy causation cannot, then what determines factual causation? The answer is policy. I call this approach “pragmatic” because it evaluates the use of an idea rather than claims regarding its metaphysical truth. But there is a metaphysical piece here as well. We only get to the point of applying a pragmatic analysis by understanding something about the metaphysics of causation. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of Tort Law de Gruyter

Chancy Causation in Tort Law

Journal of Tort Law , Volume 15 (1): 27 – Mar 1, 2022

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Publisher
de Gruyter
Copyright
© 2022 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
ISSN
1932-9148
eISSN
1932-9148
DOI
10.1515/jtl-2021-0016
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

AbstractChancy causation is where the cause of an event can only be attributed probabilistically. Contrary to the understanding popular in legal theory, scientific fact plays only a minimal role in chancy causation cases. As a matter of metaphysics, factual inquiry can only determine whether an event has a tendency to cause an outcome. Yet tort doctrine requires that the plaintiff prove a counterfactual: that but for the event, the outcome would not have occurred. Understanding that in chancy causation cases proving the counterfactual is impossible is the first step towards a discussion of what really ought to matter in chancy causation cases: whether imposing liability is normatively desirable. Methodologically, the Essay builds on scholarship about the metaphysics of causation as a first step to understanding this legal concept. If it is true that causation cannot be pinned down deterministically, as chancy causation cannot, then what determines factual causation? The answer is policy. I call this approach “pragmatic” because it evaluates the use of an idea rather than claims regarding its metaphysical truth. But there is a metaphysical piece here as well. We only get to the point of applying a pragmatic analysis by understanding something about the metaphysics of causation.

Journal

Journal of Tort Lawde Gruyter

Published: Mar 1, 2022

Keywords: causation; toxic torts; products liability; expert evidence

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