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Dix (1976) recently has proposed that a “true experiment” be conducted to assess the validity of predictions of imminent violence. A random sample of persons predicted to be iminently violent would be denied emergency civil commitment in order to test whether they do, in fact, commit a violent act. This article analyzes Dix’s proposal and finds that it presents an unacceptable level of risk to the community. Four alternative methodologies by which preliminary data can be gathered on the validity of predictions of violence in emergency civil commitment are described.
Law and Human Behavior – American Psychological Association
Published: Dec 1, 1977
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