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Journal of Economic PerspectivesâVolume 19, Number 2âSpring 2005âPages 11â32 or almost 70 years, Social Security has provided retirees with a basic level of income that is protected against inï¬ation, ï¬nancial market ï¬uctuations and the risk of outliving oneâs assets. It protects against other risks as well, such as disability or the death of a family wage earner. In addition, through its progressive structure, Social Security provides some protection against oneâs career not turning out well. Social Security plays a critical role in providing ï¬nancial security during retirement: It provides the majority of income for two-thirds of elderly beneï¬ciaries, and all income for 20 percent of elderly beneï¬ciaries. Over the next 75 years, Social Security costs are projected to rise by about 2.5 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), while revenues are projected to decline slightly as a share of GDP. Social Securityâs long-term ï¬nancial health can be restored through either minor adjustments or major surgery. In our view, major surgery is neither warranted nor desirableâsustainable solvency and improved social insurance can be accomplished by a progressive reform that combines modest beneï¬t reductions and revenue increases (as presented in more detail in Diamond and Orszag, 2004). We begin by
Journal of Economic Perspectives – American Economic Association
Published: May 1, 2005
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