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âVolume 13, Number 4 âFall 1999 âPages 3â20 n the last ï¬ve years, the global economy has experienced severe bouts of ï¬nancial instability that have had devastating impacts on crisis countries. Some examples of the impact on GDP are given in Table 1. In Mexico, GDP growth fell from above 4 percent in 1994 before the crisis to 6 percent in 1995. In Thailand, Malaysia, South Korea and Indonesia, GDP growth fell from above 5 percent in 1996 before the crisis to below 5 percent in 1998. These swings of over 10 percent in rates of GDP growth are of the same order of magnitude as what occurred in the United States during the Great Depression. Two of the key questions facing policymakers today are how to reduce the risk of global ï¬nancial instability and how to cope with it when it occurs. This paper starts by deï¬ning ï¬nancial instability and then showing how it harms economic activity. It then uses this framework to describe what happened during the recent ï¬nancial crises in Mexico and east Asia. The paper ends by raising several key policy issues; not coincidentally, these issues are addressed in the remaining papers in the
Journal of Economic Perspectives – American Economic Association
Published: Nov 1, 1999
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