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- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Copyright
- Copyright © 2011 by the American Economic Association
- Subject
- Articles
- ISSN
- 1945-7715
- eISSN
- 1945-7715
- DOI
- 10.1257/mac.3.2.104
- Publisher site
- See Article on Publisher Site
Abstract
Abstract This paper compares the evolution of long-run inflation expectations in the euro area and the United States, using evidence from financial markets and surveys of professional forecasters. Survey data indicate that long-run inflation expectations are reasonably well anchored in both economies but reveal substantially greater dispersion across forecasters' long-horizon projections of US inflation. Analysis of daily data on inflation swaps and nominal-indexed bond spreads, which gauge compensation for expected inflation and inflation risk, also suggests that long-run inflation expectations are more firmly anchored in the euro area than in the United States. (JEL D84, E31, E37, E52, E58 )
Journal
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics – American Economic Association
Published: Apr 1, 2011