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A record 122.3 million people, or 60.0% of those eligible, cast a vote for president in 2004. In this essay, I examine variation in voter participation among the states. I find that electoral competition in the battleground states was associated with higher turnout rates, and that where...
Shortly after the election, President George W. Bush initiated a major restructuring of his cabinet. The post-election weeks have been filled with the drama of the selection process: who was in, who was out, whom would the President choose to fill the empty slots? Come January, the drama will...
The consensus immediately following the 2004 presidential election was that Bush won because of support for "moral values." I challenge this interpretation by showing that Bush won because of widespread increase in his support among white and married women. I hypothesize that this is a response...
The 2004 elections positioned George W. Bush to advance into the forefront among presidents as party leaders. For his first term, Bush merits well above-average marks in this realm. Now that the 2004 votes have been counted, Bush is poised to become the standard-setter; but he faces formidable...
An analysis of the 2004 presidential election results indicates that President Bushs relatively narrow victory reflected the normal advantage of incumbency and preexisting divisions within the American electorate rather than a fundamental shift in the partisan or ideological loyalties of the...
This article examines the 2004 presidential campaign by examining the trinity of fundamentals that have historically affected presidential elections and how they played out in this years campaign. The three fundamentals are public opinion about the in-party and candidates before the campaign...
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